to all crafts

The Danger Zone Collection + The Prisma Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +29.27$

Invest 76.91$

Average return 106.18$

ROI +38.1%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 193.70 $, profit at most −87.52 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1740

6.90 $

at 6.90

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4708

5.89 $

at 5.89

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1740

64.12 $

at 8.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 76.91 $ +29.27 (+38.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 5%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097999

67.76 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111999

179.09 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.140999

128.56 $ 5.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

92.00 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.42 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +19.71 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2183806 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 29.78$ · invest 75.83$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.467459 instead of 0.470888; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170077 instead of 0.174021
Craft 2162760 · The CS20 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 29.63$ · invest 78.34$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.466901 instead of 0.470888; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169437 instead of 0.174021
Craft 2184411 · The Prisma Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 29.57$ · invest 80.41$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.462540 instead of 0.470888; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164421 instead of 0.174021
Craft 2176562 · The Gamma Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 29.36$ · invest 81.67$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.463447 instead of 0.470888; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165464 instead of 0.174021
Craft 2164375 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 28.75$ · invest 82.37$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.463053 instead of 0.470888; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165012 instead of 0.174021
Craft 2164377 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 27.36$ · invest 82.37$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.465489 instead of 0.470888; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167812 instead of 0.174021
Craft 2165428 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 27.21$ · invest 83.08$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.472945 instead of 0.470888; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.176387 instead of 0.174021
Craft 2161781 · The Breakout Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 27.21$ · invest 90.69$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.472945 instead of 0.470888; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.176387 instead of 0.174021

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Prisma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build