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The Dead Hand Collection + The Gallery Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +47.83$

Invest 86.34$

Average return 134.17$

ROI +55.4%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 211.69 $, profit at most −77.52 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −29 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

6% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

54.96 $

at 6.87

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

31.38 $

at 15.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 86.34 $ +47.83 (+55.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −22 $

7% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

54.96 $

at 6.87

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

15.54 $

at 15.54

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

15.69 $

at 15.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 86.19 $ +47.12 (+54.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −40 $

6% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

48.09 $

at 6.87

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

11.02 $

at 11.02

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

31.38 $

at 15.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 90.49 $ +44.56 (+49.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −52 $

6% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

41.22 $

at 6.87

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

22.04 $

at 11.02

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

31.38 $

at 15.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 94.64 $ +41.28 (+43.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −63 $

6% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

34.35 $

at 6.87

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

33.05 $

at 11.02

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

31.38 $

at 15.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 98.78 $ +38.00 (+38.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Queen's Gambit

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

164.53 $ 40.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

140.06 $ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.109574

89.56 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Vaporwave

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089598

235.05 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Gallery Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Gallery Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +22.80 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +43.36 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Gallery Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2169302 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 51.49$ · invest 70.97$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.164093
Craft 2163843 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 50.23$ · invest 84.76$
profit on prices without salesat least −15 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166666 instead of 0.164093
Craft 2169372 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 49.07$ · invest 75.98$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.164093
Craft 2169478 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 48.85$ · invest 84.07$
profit on prices without salesat least −14 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2164866 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 48.45$ · invest 83.87$
profit on prices without salesat least −0 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163273 instead of 0.164093
Craft 2169952 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 48.33$ · invest 70.31$
profit on prices without salesat least −0 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.164093
Craft 2170073 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 47.58$ · invest 72.59$
profit on prices without salesat least −10 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166464 instead of 0.164093
Craft 2164867 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 41.84$ · invest 91.94$
profit on prices without salesat least −1 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161898 instead of 0.164093

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Gallery Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build