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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +3.21$

Invest 4.21$

Average return 7.42$

ROI +76.2%

Chance of profit 68%

With float: invest at least 10.11 $, profit at most −2.69 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

0.27 $

at 0.27

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

1.99 $

at 0.40

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

1.94 $

at 0.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.21 $ +3.21 (+76.2%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 68%
Losing outcome 33%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22.17 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

2.53 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.048222

5.75 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6.77 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Factory New

float up to 0.052111

1.35 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

0.99 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Night Terror

Factory New

float up to 0.054444

1.94 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Factory New

float up to 0.059111

2.30 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

float up to 0.038888

1.14 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.79 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.47 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 18 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2184687 · The Radiant Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.38$ · invest 4.65$
rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2158985 · The Ascent Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.37$ · invest 4.82$
rare inputs

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075148 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075148 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2160371 · The Boreal Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.33$ · invest 4.32$
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075148 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075148 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2154721 · The Achroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.27$ · invest 4.64$
rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075197 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075197 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2175166 · The Gallery Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.27$ · invest 4.61$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075243 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075243 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2178965 · The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.25$ · invest 4.82$
rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075207 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075207 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2186269 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 3.21$ · invest 4.35$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2176666 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.20$ · invest 4.42$
rare inputs

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075148 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075148 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2179531 · The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.19$ · invest 4.83$
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2186241 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 3.14$ · invest 4.43$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2180794 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.14$ · invest 4.25$
rare inputs

Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075240 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075240 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2174226 · The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.12$ · invest 4.28$
rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075241 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075241 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2167532 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.12$ · invest 4.33$
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075241 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075241 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2186304 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 3.10$ · invest 4.48$
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2184982 · The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.07$ · invest 4.32$
rare inputs

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075241 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075241 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2165538 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.07$ · invest 4.53$
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2185361 · The Revolution Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.07$ · invest 4.34$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075300 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075300 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2162869 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3.05$ · invest 4.67$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075168 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075168 instead of 0.075114

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build