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The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +261.44$

Invest 478.17$

Average return 739.60$

ROI +54.7%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 1 169.97 $, profit at most −430.36 $

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −355.44 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

11% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

30.33 $

at 30.33

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

78.45 $

at 26.15

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

369.39 $

at 61.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 478.17 $ +261.44 (+54.7%)

10% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

60.65 $

at 30.33

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

78.45 $

at 26.15

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

307.82 $

at 61.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 446.93 $ +243.46 (+54.5%)

8% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

90.98 $

at 30.33

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

78.45 $

at 26.15

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

246.26 $

at 61.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 415.69 $ +225.48 (+54.2%)

7% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

121.30 $

at 30.33

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

78.45 $

at 26.15

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

184.69 $

at 61.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 384.45 $ +207.50 (+54.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −11 $

7% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

151.63 $

at 30.33

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

78.45 $

at 26.15

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

123.13 $

at 61.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 353.21 $ +189.52 (+53.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 398.81 $ 45.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

237.83 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

409.63 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

272.63 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +232.80 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +253.19 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 25 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2170210 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 265.19$ · invest 483.10$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080705 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009367 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2163041 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 265.01$ · invest 464.35$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079359 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008189 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2185217 · The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 263.71$ · invest 462.83$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080283 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008997 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2165733 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 261.83$ · invest 474.01$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080407 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009106 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2166618 · The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 261.16$ · invest 490.69$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080062 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008804 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2162011 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 260.70$ · invest 479.56$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078748 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.007654 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2174427 · The Fracture Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 260.43$ · invest 460.60$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079769 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008547 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2186397 · The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 260.25$ · invest 513.12$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.003607 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2182101 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 259.98$ · invest 535.73$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074354 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.003810 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2181030 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 258.08$ · invest 470.84$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080223 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008945 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2187113 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 258.08$ · invest 479.84$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079955 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008711 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2185579 · The Revolution Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 258.08$ · invest 466.96$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080705 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009367 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2167752 · The Clutch Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 257.61$ · invest 461.28$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080135 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008868 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2183690 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 257.59$ · invest 470.22$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080223 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008945 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2176160 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 256.51$ · invest 477.71$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080455 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009148 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2173561 · The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 255.78$ · invest 480.23$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080705 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009367 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2171273 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 255.45$ · invest 467.58$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080705 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009367 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2176843 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 254.13$ · invest 475.12$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079582 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008384 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2178204 · The Glove Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 253.67$ · invest 476.59$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080283 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008997 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2179707 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 252.34$ · invest 487.85$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080455 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009148 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2184098 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 252.16$ · invest 479.46$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080180 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008907 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2175423 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 248.50$ · invest 484.78$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080455 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009148 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2186968 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 246.34$ · invest 489.71$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080283 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008997 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2164662 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 246.21$ · invest 494.55$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080705 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009367 instead of 0.007781
Craft 2186806 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 245.85$ · invest 486.16$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Food Chain (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080705 instead of 0.078893; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.009367 instead of 0.007781

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build