to all crafts

The Horizon Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +41.56$

Invest 50.99$

Average return 92.55$

ROI +81.5%

Chance of profit 35%

With float: invest at least 123.22 $, profit at most −30.67 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

6% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

4.50 $

at 1.13

Steam

×5

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

39.19 $

at 7.84

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

7.30 $

at 7.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 50.99 $ +41.56 (+81.5%)

7% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

4.50 $

at 1.13

Steam

×1

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

7.84 $

at 7.84

Steam

×5

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

36.49 $

at 7.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 48.83 $ +29.83 (+61.1%)

6% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

4.50 $

at 1.13

Steam

×2

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

15.68 $

at 7.84

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

29.19 $

at 7.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 49.37 $ +32.76 (+66.4%)

6% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

3.38 $

at 1.13

Steam

×2

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

9.03 $

at 4.51

Steam

×5

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

36.49 $

at 7.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 48.89 $ +22.83 (+46.7%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 65%

at a loss

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

26.87 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Nightmare

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

283.50 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

20.92 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | Crakow!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

91.87 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

49.12 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 3 only The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +24.22 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +36.89 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 35 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2161591 · The Breakout Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 44.14$ · invest 46.99$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Koi (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162409 instead of 0.163423; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003776 instead of 0.004085
Craft 2179195 · The Horizon Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 43.90$ · invest 52.07$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Torque (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.163423; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003977 instead of 0.004085
Craft 2175650 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 43.15$ · invest 46.16$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162927 instead of 0.163423; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003934 instead of 0.004085
Craft 2179476 · The Horizon Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 43.06$ · invest 44.57$
sells slowly

MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162022 instead of 0.163423; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003658 instead of 0.004085
Craft 2170638 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 43.01$ · invest 44.84$
sells slowly

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.163423; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003977 instead of 0.004085
Craft 2176339 · The Gamma Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 42.87$ · invest 47.14$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Chopper (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163243 instead of 0.163423; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004030 instead of 0.004085
Craft 2172925 · The Fever Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 42.87$ · invest 45.31$
sells slowly

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163371 instead of 0.163423; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004069 instead of 0.004085
Craft 2179302 · The Horizon Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 42.84$ · invest 49.79$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163243 instead of 0.163423; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004030 instead of 0.004085
Craft 2179228 · The Horizon Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 42.63$ · invest 44.93$
sells slowly

Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163270 instead of 0.163423; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004038 instead of 0.004085
Craft 2179632 · The Horizon Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 42.55$ · invest 46.35$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162953 instead of 0.163423; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003942 instead of 0.004085
Craft 2167115 · The Clutch Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 42.54$ · invest 45.29$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163163 instead of 0.163423; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004006 instead of 0.004085
Craft 2179427 · The Horizon Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 42.45$ · invest 49.49$
sells slowly

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163337 instead of 0.163423; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004059 instead of 0.004085
Craft 2179436 · The Horizon Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 42.37$ · invest 45.20$
sells slowly

M249 | Downtown (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163312 instead of 0.163423; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004051 instead of 0.004085
Craft 2174693 · The Gallery Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 42.37$ · invest 46.77$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New)
Craft 2179606 · The Horizon Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 42.36$ · invest 46.44$
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163243 instead of 0.163423; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004030 instead of 0.004085
Craft 2179586 · The Horizon Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 42.35$ · invest 45.56$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163312 instead of 0.163423; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004051 instead of 0.004085
Craft 2179342 · The Horizon Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 42.34$ · invest 49.60$
sells slowly rare inputs

USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162747 instead of 0.163423; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003879 instead of 0.004085
Craft 2160106 · The Boreal Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 42.21$ · invest 46.92$
sells slowly

Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163337 instead of 0.163423; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004059 instead of 0.004085
Craft 2162530 · The CS20 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 42.18$ · invest 46.44$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New)
Craft 2179718 · The Horizon Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 42.07$ · invest 49.28$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162953 instead of 0.163423; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003942 instead of 0.004085
Craft 2168513 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 42.06$ · invest 45.86$
sells slowly

P250 | Nevermore (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162813 instead of 0.163423; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003899 instead of 0.004085
Craft 2179396 · The Horizon Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 41.80$ · invest 45.53$
sells slowly

UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162813 instead of 0.163423; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003899 instead of 0.004085
Craft 2173860 · The Fracture Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 41.77$ · invest 45.61$
sells slowly

MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163469 instead of 0.163423; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004099 instead of 0.004085
Craft 2179658 · The Horizon Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 41.77$ · invest 48.17$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163349 instead of 0.163423; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004062 instead of 0.004085
Craft 2176989 · The Genesis Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 41.66$ · invest 47.34$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Ocular (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163609 instead of 0.163423; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004141 instead of 0.004085
Craft 2177662 · The Glove Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 41.65$ · invest 51.90$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Gila (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162409 instead of 0.163423; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003776 instead of 0.004085
Craft 2169604 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 41.57$ · invest 47.79$
sells slowly

MP7 | Amberline (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163609 instead of 0.163423; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004141 instead of 0.004085
Craft 2166153 · The Chroma Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 41.57$ · invest 48.74$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.163423; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003977 instead of 0.004085
Craft 2154488 · The Achroma Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 41.14$ · invest 49.47$
sells slowly

Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163371 instead of 0.163423; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004069 instead of 0.004085
Craft 2179363 · The Horizon Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 41.05$ · invest 47.25$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163609 instead of 0.163423; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004141 instead of 0.004085
Craft 2179774 · The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 40.82$ · invest 47.81$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161510 instead of 0.163423; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003503 instead of 0.004085
Craft 2179498 · The Horizon Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 40.79$ · invest 48.76$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163609 instead of 0.163423; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004141 instead of 0.004085
Craft 2171455 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 40.65$ · invest 46.05$
sells slowly

P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162813 instead of 0.163423; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003899 instead of 0.004085
Craft 2165176 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 40.46$ · invest 47.69$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New)
Craft 2158741 · The Ascent Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 39.95$ · invest 49.34$
sells slowly

USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163243 instead of 0.163423; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004030 instead of 0.004085

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build