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The Lake Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +14 458.49₸

Invest 10 635.31₸

Average return 25 093.81₸

ROI +135.9%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 27 872.75 ₸, profit at most −2 779.00 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SG 553 | Anodized Navy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

208.73 ₸

at 208.73

Steam

×9

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

10 426.59 ₸

at 1 158.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10 635.31 ₸ +14 458.49 (+135.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

at a loss

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.007446

4 038.91 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

5 820.08 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

86 218.52 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Dual Berettas | Cobalt Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.004255

346.15 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Lake Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Lake Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +9 270.05 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +12 014.04 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Lake Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 21 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2159793 · The Bank Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 14 515.35₸ · invest 11 136.32₸
sells slowly

Desert Eagle | Meteorite (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006040 instead of 0.004332
Craft 2170171 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 14 473.41₸ · invest 10 794.55₸
sells slowly

Sawed-Off | Fusion (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.008148 instead of 0.004332
Craft 2177515 · The Genesis Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 14 458.27₸ · invest 10 796.90₸
sells slowly

MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.008148 instead of 0.004332
Craft 2178176 · The Glove Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 14 451.43₸ · invest 12 297.44₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007451 instead of 0.004332
Craft 2173516 · The Fever Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 14 431.27₸ · invest 10 737.09₸
sells slowly

MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.008148 instead of 0.004332
Craft 2180418 · The Italy Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 14 404.32₸ · invest 10 718.81₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007752 instead of 0.004332
Craft 2157536 · The Arabesque Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 14 397.84₸ · invest 11 326.07₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.008148 instead of 0.004332
Craft 2180170 · The Huntsman Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 14 394.15₸ · invest 11 089.39₸
sells slowly

SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006217 instead of 0.004332
Craft 2187393 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 14 381.33₸ · invest 11 450.45₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.004332
Craft 2187284 · The Spy Tech Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 14 379.73₸ · invest 11 413.36₸
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Monarch (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.008148 instead of 0.004332
Craft 2182075 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 14 370.61₸ · invest 11 676.55₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007752 instead of 0.004332
Craft 2158279 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 14 345.90₸ · invest 13 188.64₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Blue Fissure (Minimal Wear) instead of SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006114 instead of 0.004332
Craft 2187376 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Train Collection · profit 14 342.13₸ · invest 10 744.57₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007308 instead of 0.004332
Craft 2150456 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 14 131.42₸ · invest 11 320.19₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.004332
Craft 2178679 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 14 076.16₸ · invest 11 647.21₸
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Halftone Shift (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007752 instead of 0.004332
Craft 2182771 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 14 067.16₸ · invest 11 976.52₸
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007889 instead of 0.004332
Craft 2156837 · The Anubis Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 14 033.54₸ · invest 12 481.64₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.008148 instead of 0.004332
Craft 2187417 · The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 14 013.06₸ · invest 11 805.58₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007308 instead of 0.004332
Craft 2152717 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 13 983.23₸ · invest 11 916.07₸
sells slowly

R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New)
Craft 2171644 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 13 967.48₸ · invest 11 189.23₸
sells slowly

M4A1-S | VariCamo (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007752 instead of 0.004332
Craft 2182402 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 13 833.18₸ · invest 13 140.32₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Hard Water (Factory New) instead of SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007451 instead of 0.004332

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Lake Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build