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The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +10 118.68₸

Invest 16 557.96₸

Average return 26 676.64₸

ROI +61.1%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 38 959.00 ₸, profit at most −12 282.30 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

1 841.36 ₸

at 1 841.36

Steam

×6

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

6 888.54 ₸

at 1 148.09

Steam

×3

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

7 828.06 ₸

at 2 609.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 16 557.96 ₸ +10 118.68 (+61.1%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

3 682.72 ₸

at 1 841.36

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

6 623.63 ₸

at 3 311.82

Steam

×5

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

5 740.45 ₸

at 1 148.09

Steam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

2 609.35 ₸

at 2 609.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18 656.15 ₸ +8 401.38 (+45.0%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

60 959.89 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

17 639.50 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

12 997.06 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Crakow!

Factory New

float up to 0.058823

41 691.77 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Factory New

float up to 0.047058

22 292.74 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 3 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 only The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +5 915.88 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +9 110.53 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Overpass 2024 Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2154728 · The Achroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 10 068.47₸ · invest 15 723.79₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075850 instead of 0.076475; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.005119 instead of 0.005665
Craft 2186220 · The Shadow Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 10 013.26₸ · invest 16 694.31₸
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Embargo (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078744 instead of 0.076475; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007651 instead of 0.005665
Craft 2186382 · The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 9 272.59₸ · invest 15 874.04₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078744 instead of 0.076475; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007651 instead of 0.005665

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build