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The Prisma Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +19.45$

Invest 94.37$

Average return 113.82$

ROI +20.6%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 222.77 $, profit at most −108.95 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3873

20.95 $

at 6.98

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1742

48.09 $

at 8.02

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1742

25.32 $

at 25.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 94.37 $ +19.45 (+20.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −27 $

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4687

5.89 $

at 5.89

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1715

56.11 $

at 8.02

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1715

50.65 $

at 25.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 112.64 $ +7.67 (+6.8%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.131249

67.76 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

179.09 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray

Factory New

float up to 0.056249

198.08 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Prisma Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 6 only The Prisma Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −7.86 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +10.30 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Prisma Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2158176 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 19.14$ · invest 95.85$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Well-Worn): float at most 0.386801 instead of 0.387394; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172346 instead of 0.174297

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Prisma Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build