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The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +152.38$

Invest 313.91$

Average return 466.29$

ROI +48.5%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 810.53 $, profit at most −344.24 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

8% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

32.05 $

at 32.05

Steam

×9

MP9 | Latte Rush

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

281.86 $

at 31.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 313.91 $ +152.38 (+48.5%)

8% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

160.24 $

at 32.05

Steam

×3

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1681

34.54 $

at 11.51

Steam

×2

MP9 | Latte Rush

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

62.64 $

at 31.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 257.42 $ +112.34 (+43.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −47 $

8% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

84.95 $

at 14.16

Steam

×3

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

96.15 $

at 32.05

Steam

×1

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1675

11.51 $

at 11.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 192.61 $ +80.61 (+41.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −24 $

7% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

56.63 $

at 14.16

Steam

×4

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

128.20 $

at 32.05

Steam

×2

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

23.03 $

at 11.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 207.86 $ +89.50 (+43.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

7% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

28.32 $

at 14.16

Steam

×5

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

160.24 $

at 32.05

Steam

×3

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

34.54 $

at 11.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 223.10 $ +98.39 (+44.1%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

AWP | LongDog

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

563.99 $ 90.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

325.57 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

247.34 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +43.68 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +91.53 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 21 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2185859 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 164.71$ · invest 292.85$
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074284 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2185554 · The Revolution Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 157.42$ · invest 292.70$
sells slowly rare inputs

AWP | Duality (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2185189 · The Recoil Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 157.04$ · invest 292.40$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2177526 · The Genesis Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 156.07$ · invest 307.87$
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2183669 · The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 155.86$ · invest 295.29$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2180179 · The Huntsman Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 155.36$ · invest 318.52$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2161996 · The Breakout Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 154.94$ · invest 308.35$
sells slowly rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2173530 · The Fever Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 154.84$ · invest 299.08$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2171249 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 154.82$ · invest 297.85$
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2170182 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 154.63$ · invest 305.42$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2184078 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 154.53$ · invest 300.12$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2169136 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 154.32$ · invest 292.10$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2187089 · The Spectrum Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 154.29$ · invest 301.16$
sells slowly rare inputs

AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076609 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2182778 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 154.28$ · invest 334.81$
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2176137 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 153.55$ · invest 308.73$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP9 | Airlock (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2187401 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 153.38$ · invest 312.74$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2186784 · The Snakebite Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 152.30$ · invest 298.04$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077019 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2186947 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 152.09$ · invest 307.54$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2172541 · The Falchion Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 151.72$ · invest 307.66$
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2175396 · The Gallery Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 150.89$ · invest 303.54$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2166600 · The Chroma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 149.91$ · invest 303.46$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076751

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

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How to build