The Operation Hydra Collection + The Breakout Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +128 393.97₸

Invest 1 144 573.60₸

Average return 1 272 967.56₸

ROI +11.2%

Chance of profit 18%

With float: invest at least 2 685 153.02 ₸, profit at most −1 412 185.45 ₸

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 11.5% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −1 010 961.19 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×4

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

1 038 409.94 ₸

at 259 602.49

Steam

×1

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

106 163.65 ₸

at 106 163.65

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 1 144 573.60 ₸ +128 393.97 (+11.2%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 18%
Losing outcome 70%
Above the Steam cap 12%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

338 862.49 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

782 519.36 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

451 995.13 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

523 401.25 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

299 468.24 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

730 629.16 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 359 394.54 ₸ 3.33%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

471 896.44 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

336 699.83 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

907 493.22 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

761 901.80 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

271 794.24 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 919 039.60 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

781 083.91 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 294 775.46 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 315 865.15 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 755 093.69 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

469 690.11 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

258 171.90 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

700 943.13 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

181 494.10 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

882 990.89 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

558 602.91 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

495 314.34 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

583 141.16 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

578 812.80 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

317 699.77 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

414 715.32 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 601 607.52 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

907 039.47 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

385 684.61 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

461 914.06 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife

no wear

649 851.55 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Hydra Collection + The Breakout Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +112 472.46 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +126 806.13 ₸ historical median

3% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Operation Hydra Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2188231 · The Breakout Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 128 393.99₸ · invest 1 144 573.60₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2188692 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 126 389.01₸ · invest 1 065 132.34₸
profit on prices without salesat least −17 641 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft 2188693 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 126 389.01₸ · invest 1 065 132.34₸
profit on prices without salesat least −17 641 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft 2189380 · The Vanguard Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 122 127.40₸ · invest 1 084 512.07₸
profit on prices without salesat least −21 473 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.006390 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2189381 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 122 127.40₸ · invest 1 084 512.07₸
profit on prices without salesat least −21 473 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.006390 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2189358 · The Phoenix Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 120 985.94₸ · invest 1 085 653.53₸
profit on prices without salesat least −22 614 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft 2189359 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 120 985.94₸ · invest 1 085 653.53₸
profit on prices without salesat least −22 614 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft 2188308 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 120 286.61₸ · invest 1 068 819.76₸
profit on prices without salesat least −26 568 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft 2188309 · The CS20 Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 120 286.61₸ · invest 1 068 819.76₸
profit on prices without salesat least −26 568 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New)
Craft 2189384 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 117 512.00₸ · invest 1 089 127.47₸
profit on prices without salesat least −26 088 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.010394 instead of 0.011261
Craft 2189385 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 117 512.00₸ · invest 1 089 127.47₸
profit on prices without salesat least −26 088 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New): float at most 0.010394 instead of 0.011261

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Hydra Collection + The Breakout Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build