The Glove Collection + The Falchion Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +424 467.64₸

Invest 752 189.35₸

Average return 1 176 656.99₸

ROI +56.4%

Chance of profit 23%

With float: invest at least 1 762 527.88 ₸, profit at most −585 870.89 ₸

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 11.5% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −618 845.43 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×4

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

672 189.62 ₸

at 168 047.41

Steam

×1

AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

79 999.72 ₸

at 79 999.72

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 752 189.35 ₸ +424 467.64 (+56.4%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 9.6% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −43 249 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

336 094.81 ₸

at 168 047.41

Steam

×3

AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

239 999.17 ₸

at 79 999.72

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 576 093.98 ₸ +61 629.59 (+10.7%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 65%
About break-even 3%
Above the Steam cap 12%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

338 862.49 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

782 519.36 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

451 995.13 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

523 401.25 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

299 468.24 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

730 629.16 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 359 394.54 ₸ 3.33%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

471 896.44 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

336 699.83 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

907 493.22 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

761 901.80 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

271 794.24 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 919 039.60 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

about break-even

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

781 083.91 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 294 775.46 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 315 865.15 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 755 093.69 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

469 690.11 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

258 171.90 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

700 943.13 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

181 494.10 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

121 581.81 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

117 991.40 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

177 414.66 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

106 903.48 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

206 323.72 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

133 629.35 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

123 929.94 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

173 787.91 ₸ 1.54%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

65 775.09 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

82 850.20 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

83 500.44 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Falchion Knife

no wear

58 796.27 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Glove Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 only The Glove Collection Variant 3 The Clutch Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Recoil Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Breakout Collection instead of The Glove Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +410 072.13 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +422 884.03 ₸ historical median

5% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Glove Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2188947 · The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 424 467.63₸ · invest 752 189.35₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2189152 · The Horizon Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 416 954.01₸ · invest 774 567.35₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New) instead of AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New)
Craft 2189153 · The Glove Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 416 954.01₸ · invest 774 567.35₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New) instead of AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New)
Craft 2189196 · The eSports 2014 Summer Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 410 441.81₸ · invest 796 197.66₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) instead of AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007021 instead of 0.007507
Craft 2189197 · The Glove Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 410 441.81₸ · invest 796 197.66₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) instead of AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007021 instead of 0.007507

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Glove Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build