The Glove Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +470 765.17₸

Invest 714 851.06₸

Average return 1 185 616.24₸

ROI +65.9%

Chance of profit 23%

With float: invest at least 1 681 876.74 ₸, profit at most −496 260.51 ₸

The gain is understated: 6 outcomes have no price, that is 14.6% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −571 586.66 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×4

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0070

672 187.62 ₸

at 168 046.90

Steam

×1

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0070

42 663.45 ₸

at 42 663.45

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 714 851.06 ₸ +470 765.17 (+65.9%)

The gain is understated: 6 outcomes have no price, that is 21.0% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −66 277 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0081

168 046.90 ₸

at 168 046.90

Steam

×4

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0081

170 653.79 ₸

at 42 663.45

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 338 700.70 ₸ +65 406.13 (+19.3%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 23%
Losing outcome 59%
About break-even 3%
Above the Steam cap 15%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

338 861.48 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

782 517.02 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

451 993.78 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

523 399.69 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

299 467.34 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

730 626.98 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 359 390.48 ₸ 3.33%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

471 895.03 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

336 698.83 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

907 490.51 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

761 899.52 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

271 793.43 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 919 033.87 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

781 081.58 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 294 735.73 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 315 861.22 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 755 064.55 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

469 688.71 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

258 171.13 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

700 941.04 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

181 493.56 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

104 999.22 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

119 504.48 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

152 384.52 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

660 309.82 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

502 341.05 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

96 193.39 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

170 694.41 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

90 862.34 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

187 080.48 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bowie Knife

no wear

40 827.55 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Glove Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 only The Glove Collection Variant 3 The Clutch Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Recoil Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Glove Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +456 332.44 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +469 111.81 ₸ historical median

3% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Glove Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 39 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2189154 · The Huntsman Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 477 999.39₸ · invest 712 054.64₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2189155 · The Glove Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 477 999.39₸ · invest 712 054.64₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2189190 · The Wildfire Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 470 765.17₸ · invest 714 851.06₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2189194 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 469 114.86₸ · invest 737 521.00₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.005961 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2189195 · The Glove Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 469 114.86₸ · invest 737 521.00₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.005961 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2189168 · The Prisma Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 465 453.05₸ · invest 717 906.46₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2189169 · The Glove Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 465 453.05₸ · invest 717 906.46₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2189122 · The Glove Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 465 234.53₸ · invest 742 531.34₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006858 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2189123 · The Gamma Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 465 234.53₸ · invest 742 531.34₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006858 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2188144 · The Glove Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit 463 994.95₸ · invest 742 640.91₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007239 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2188145 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 463 994.95₸ · invest 742 640.91₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007239 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2189156 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 462 518.97₸ · invest 708 559.39₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2189157 · The Glove Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 462 518.97₸ · invest 708 559.39₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2188062 · The Glove Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit 462 380.12₸ · invest 744 255.74₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007490 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2188063 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 462 380.12₸ · invest 744 255.74₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007490 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2188512 · The Glove Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 460 190.51₸ · invest 740 005.75₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.004461 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2188513 · The Chroma Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 460 190.51₸ · invest 740 005.75₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.004461 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2189092 · The Glove Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 459 746.34₸ · invest 748 019.53₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2189093 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 459 746.34₸ · invest 748 019.53₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2188996 · The Glove Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 459 456.88₸ · invest 715 470.73₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2188997 · The Fever Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 459 456.88₸ · invest 715 470.73₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2189184 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 458 749.32₸ · invest 735 311.10₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2189185 · The Glove Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 458 749.32₸ · invest 735 311.10₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2189186 · The Spectrum Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 458 561.06₸ · invest 735 499.36₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2189187 · The Glove Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 458 561.06₸ · invest 735 499.36₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2189158 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 458 417.05₸ · invest 779 885.55₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2189159 · The Glove Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 458 417.05₸ · invest 779 885.55₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2189178 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 456 828.36₸ · invest 727 678.75₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2189179 · The Glove Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 456 828.36₸ · invest 727 678.75₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2188906 · The Glove Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 455 449.92₸ · invest 731 113.39₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007304 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2188907 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 455 449.92₸ · invest 731 113.39₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007304 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2188444 · The Glove Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 453 124.64₸ · invest 747 071.62₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006756 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2188445 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 453 124.64₸ · invest 747 071.62₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006756 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2188374 · The Glove Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 452 812.59₸ · invest 747 383.67₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006609 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2188375 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 452 812.59₸ · invest 747 383.67₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.006609 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2189166 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 451 737.97₸ · invest 731 621.55₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2189167 · The Glove Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 451 737.97₸ · invest 731 621.55₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2189062 · The Glove Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 431 787.36₸ · invest 739 291.00₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007211 instead of 0.007065
Craft 2189063 · The Gallery Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 431 787.36₸ · invest 739 291.00₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New): float at most 0.007211 instead of 0.007065

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Glove Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build