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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +10.09$

Invest 22.07$

Average return 32.16$

ROI +45.7%

Chance of profit 35%

With float: invest at least 53.73 $, profit at most −21.57 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

3.77 $

at 3.77

Steam

×8

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

14.10 $

at 1.76

Steam

×1

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

4.20 $

at 4.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 22.07 $ +10.09 (+45.7%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 65%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Crane Flight

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

65.14 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Kintsugi

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

21.67 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Deathgaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23.56 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Dual Berettas | Twin Turbo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15.20 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Integrale

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

62.34 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Arabesque Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +5.49 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +8.80 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2219365 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 10.96$ · invest 20.87$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2219556 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 10.45$ · invest 21.10$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build