to all crafts

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ancient Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +1.26$

Invest 2.27$

Average return 3.53$

ROI +55.4%

Chance of profit 68%

With float: invest at least 5.47 $, profit at most −1.93 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Facility Dark

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

0.05 $

at 0.05

Steam

×6

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

1.34 $

at 0.22

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

0.88 $

at 0.29

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 2.27 $ +1.26 (+55.4%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 68%
Losing outcome 33%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Silver

Factory New

float up to 0.007368

2.23 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5.36 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Panther Camo

Factory New

float up to 0.046052

5.35 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Tall Grass

Factory New

float up to 0.059868

5.01 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Galil AR | Cold Fusion

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076447

0.22 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Mainframe

Factory New

float up to 0.046052

0.26 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Motherboard

Factory New

float up to 0.046052

0.27 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Negev | Bulkhead

Factory New

float up to 0.046052

0.26 $ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ancient Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 4 The Lake Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 5 only The Ancient Collection Variant 6 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Ancient Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.44 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.86 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Ancient Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 17 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2200378 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 1.30$ · invest 2.36$
sells slowly

Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166154 instead of 0.166268; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004916 instead of 0.004951
Craft 2199561 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 1.28$ · invest 2.42$
sells slowly

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Desert Brush (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166410 instead of 0.166268; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004994 instead of 0.004951
Craft 2204258 · The Ancient Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 1.28$ · invest 2.25$
sells slowly

M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162460 instead of 0.166268; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.003792 instead of 0.004951
Craft 2204205 · The Ancient Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 1.28$ · invest 2.26$
sells slowly

P90 | Blue Tac (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162460 instead of 0.166268; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.003792 instead of 0.004951
Craft 2204445 · The Ancient Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 1.28$ · invest 2.26$
sells slowly

SCAR-20 | Sand Mesh (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165299 instead of 0.166268; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004656 instead of 0.004951
Craft 2204206 · The Ancient Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 1.28$ · invest 2.26$
sells slowly

P90 | Blue Tac (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166410 instead of 0.166268; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004994 instead of 0.004951
Craft 2204581 · The Ancient Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 1.28$ · invest 2.25$
sells slowly

FAMAS | Byproduct (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166345 instead of 0.166268; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004974 instead of 0.004951
Craft 2204259 · The Ancient Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 1.27$ · invest 2.25$
sells slowly

M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166410 instead of 0.166268; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004994 instead of 0.004951
Craft 2204900 · The Ancient Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 1.27$ · invest 2.26$
sells slowly

MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165299 instead of 0.166268; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004656 instead of 0.004951
Craft 2203138 · The Achroma Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 1.27$ · invest 2.25$
sells slowly

SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162143 instead of 0.166268; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.003695 instead of 0.004951
Craft 2204818 · The Ancient Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 1.27$ · invest 2.26$
sells slowly

Nova | Marsh Grass (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166345 instead of 0.166268; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004974 instead of 0.004951
Craft 2203139 · The Achroma Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 1.27$ · invest 2.25$
sells slowly

SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166410 instead of 0.166268; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004994 instead of 0.004951
Craft 2205026 · The Ancient Collection + The Train Collection · profit 1.27$ · invest 2.27$
sells slowly

UMP-45 | Urban DDPAT (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165299 instead of 0.166268; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004656 instead of 0.004951
Craft 2204666 · The Ancient Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 1.26$ · invest 2.26$
sells slowly

G3SG1 | Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165299 instead of 0.166268; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004656 instead of 0.004951
Craft 2198149 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 1.26$ · invest 2.27$
sells slowly

MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165299 instead of 0.166268; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004656 instead of 0.004951
Craft 2204635 · The Ancient Collection + The Italy Collection · profit 1.26$ · invest 2.27$
sells slowly

Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165299 instead of 0.166268; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004656 instead of 0.004951
Craft 2204240 · The Ancient Collection + The Bank Collection · profit 1.25$ · invest 2.27$
sells slowly

Negev | Army Sheen (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165725 instead of 0.166268; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004786 instead of 0.004951

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ancient Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build