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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fever Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +2 929.95₸

Invest 4 706.89₸

Average return 7 636.84₸

ROI +62.2%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 11 237.61 ₸, profit at most −3 600.77 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

1 160.70 ₸

at 232.14

Steam

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

3 467.94 ₸

at 866.98

Steam

×1

P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

78.25 ₸

at 78.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 706.89 ₸ +2 929.95 (+62.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

1 160.70 ₸

at 232.14

Steam

×1

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

866.98 ₸

at 866.98

Steam

×1

P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

78.25 ₸

at 78.25

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Resupply

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

923.80 ₸

at 307.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 029.74 ₸ +2 271.00 (+75.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

1 160.70 ₸

at 232.14

Steam

×2

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

1 733.97 ₸

at 866.98

Steam

×1

P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

78.25 ₸

at 78.25

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Resupply

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

615.87 ₸

at 307.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 588.79 ₸ +2 490.63 (+69.4%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 40%
About break-even 30%

about break-even

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.043804

5 672.60 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.061326

20 439.40 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087609

2 921.61 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.049937

782.69 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Control

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 206.62 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Rising Sun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087609

485.61 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Wave Breaker

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083277

422.27 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

float up to 0.061326

717.05 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Anubis Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Cache Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 642.30 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2 268.27 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2199440 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3 217.86₸ · invest 4 752.33₸
FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074081 instead of 0.075428; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.003571 instead of 0.004750
Craft 2199109 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Graphic Design Collection · profit 3 153.48₸ · invest 5 139.85₸
rare inputs

SG 553 | Berry Gel Coat (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075462 instead of 0.075428; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.004779 instead of 0.004750
Craft 2199094 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 3 070.07₸ · invest 5 088.27₸
MP7 | Cirrus (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074799 instead of 0.075428; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.004199 instead of 0.004750
Craft 2198825 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Anubis Collection · profit 2 999.63₸ · invest 5 150.54₸
rare inputs

Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077547 instead of 0.075428; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.006603 instead of 0.004750
Craft 2199143 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 2 976.31₸ · invest 4 920.70₸
R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear) instead of P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074069 instead of 0.075428; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.003560 instead of 0.004750
Craft 2199061 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 2 964.87₸ · invest 4 797.97₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Minimal Wear) instead of P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074007 instead of 0.075428; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.003506 instead of 0.004750
Craft 2198925 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 2 944.96₸ · invest 4 842.61₸
MAG-7 | Popdog (Minimal Wear) instead of P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074794 instead of 0.075428; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.004195 instead of 0.004750
Craft 2199311 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 2 942.04₸ · invest 4 694.65₸
Tec-9 | Rebel (Minimal Wear) instead of P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075833 instead of 0.075428; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.005104 instead of 0.004750
Craft 2199050 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 2 934.09₸ · invest 4 693.05₸
SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Minimal Wear) instead of P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074069 instead of 0.075428; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.003560 instead of 0.004750
Craft 2199267 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 2 927.50₸ · invest 4 810.37₸
P250 | Verdigris (Minimal Wear) instead of P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074069 instead of 0.075428; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.003560 instead of 0.004750
Craft 2198966 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 2 916.08₸ · invest 4 732.44₸
P2000 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) instead of P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075833 instead of 0.075428; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.005104 instead of 0.004750

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build