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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +140.34₴

Invest 282.79₴

Average return 423.13₴

ROI +49.6%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 680.54 ₴, profit at most −257.41 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

168.60 ₴

at 28.10

Steam

×3

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

107.14 ₴

at 35.71

souvenirSteam

×1

XM1014 | XoooM

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

7.05 ₴

at 7.05

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 282.79 ₴ +140.34 (+49.6%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

at a loss

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

183.86 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

343.44 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.062363

272.41 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 348.63 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082727

51.49 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Sky Mandala

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089090

36.45 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083999

20.32 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089090

20.50 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Bank Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Train Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +64.01 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +98.70 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2200352 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 139.38₴ · invest 282.61₴
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Snow Splash (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New)
Craft 2200463 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 138.87₴ · invest 283.60₴
rare inputs

Nova | Turquoise Pour (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074523 instead of 0.074481; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074523 instead of 0.074481
Craft 2201160 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 138.58₴ · invest 283.94₴
rare inputs

M249 | Gator Mesh (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New)
Craft 2199494 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 137.62₴ · invest 337.25₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir M249 | Midnight Palm (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074412 instead of 0.074481; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074412 instead of 0.074481
Craft 2200821 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Graphic Design Collection · profit 134.57₴ · invest 295.89₴
rare inputs

Galil AR | NV (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074385 instead of 0.074481; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074385 instead of 0.074481

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build