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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +63.30₴

Invest 27.21₴

Average return 90.51₴

ROI +232.7%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 63.88 ₴, profit at most +26.63 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir P250 | Drought

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

5.99 ₴

at 5.99

souvenirSteam

×5

MP7 | Army Recon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

7.20 ₴

at 1.44

Steam

×4

Tec-9 | Army Mesh

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

14.02 ₴

at 3.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 27.21 ₴ +63.30 (+232.7%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

in profit

best

AUG | Condemned

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

227.91 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | VariCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

18.10 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | VariCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

9.47 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Gator Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

8.20 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Orange Peel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

173.07 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Forest Leaves

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

205.40 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

60.89 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

70.37 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

112.39 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.006351

66.98 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Variant 2 The Train Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Lake Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 4 only The Safehouse Collection Variant 5 The Train Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 6 The Ancient Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +43.46 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +58.95 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Safehouse Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2228829 · The Harlequin Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 63.24₴ · invest 22.63₴
FAMAS | Byproduct (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074764 instead of 0.074634; Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New): float at most 0.004169 instead of 0.004055
Craft 2198590 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 62.83₴ · invest 23.34₴
AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074634; Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New): float at most 0.004208 instead of 0.004055
Craft 2209162 · The Boreal Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 62.19₴ · invest 22.63₴
M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074634; Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New): float at most 0.004208 instead of 0.004055
Craft 2207954 · The Ascent Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 62.16₴ · invest 22.84₴
P90 | Blue Tac (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074634; Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New): float at most 0.004208 instead of 0.004055
Craft 2203840 · The Achroma Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 61.86₴ · invest 22.63₴
SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074634; Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New): float at most 0.004208 instead of 0.004055
Craft 2234563 · The Radiant Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 61.76₴ · invest 22.66₴
Nova | Marsh Grass (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074764 instead of 0.074634; Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New): float at most 0.004169 instead of 0.004055
Craft 2199343 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 61.66₴ · invest 23.47₴
UMP-45 | Facility Dark (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074711 instead of 0.074634; Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New): float at most 0.004122 instead of 0.004055
Craft 2208594 · The Bank Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 60.99₴ · invest 23.39₴
Negev | Army Sheen (Factory New) instead of Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New); MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074357 instead of 0.074634; Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New): float at most 0.003812 instead of 0.004055

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build