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The 2021 Train Collection + The Genesis Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +2.07$

Invest 13.71$

Average return 15.78$

ROI +15.1%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 31.44 $, profit at most −15.66 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1707

5.50 $

at 5.50

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Continuum

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1707

4.02 $

at 0.67

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Continuum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

4.20 $

at 1.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.71 $ +2.07 (+15.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

10.99 $

at 5.50

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Continuum

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

3.35 $

at 0.67

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Continuum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

4.20 $

at 1.40

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18.54 $ +1.06 (+5.7%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 60%
About break-even 30%

about break-even

AWP | Ice Coaled

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

16.06 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

12.01 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Smoking Kills

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

13.21 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

86.25 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.092999

43.79 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Whiteout

Field-Tested

float up to 0.170999

42.97 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Genesis Collection

Variant 2 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 3 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 6 The Arabesque Collection instead of The Genesis Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.48 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.45 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Genesis Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2226774 · The Genesis Collection + The Graphic Design Collection · profit 1.92$ · invest 14.45$
rare inputs

P90 | Attack Vector (Field-Tested) instead of CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Continuum (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163233 instead of 0.170740; UMP-45 | Continuum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074602 instead of 0.077214

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Genesis Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build