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The Ancient Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +83.11₽

Invest 191.42₽

Average return 274.53₽

ROI +43.4%

Chance of profit 68%

With float: invest at least 460.78 ₽, profit at most −186.26 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1673

113.76 ₽

at 18.96

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

75.00 ₽

at 25.00

souvenirSteam

×1

FAMAS | Byproduct

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

2.66 ₽

at 2.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 191.42 ₽ +83.11 (+43.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

16.73 ₽

at 16.73

souvenirSteam

×4

MP9 | Bee-Tron

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

10.20 ₽

at 2.55

Steam

×5

FAMAS | Byproduct

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

13.30 ₽

at 2.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 40.23 ₽ +4.49 (+11.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1604

16.73 ₽

at 16.73

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

17.29 ₽

at 17.29

souvenirSteam

×1

MP9 | Bee-Tron

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

2.55 ₽

at 2.55

Steam

×7

FAMAS | Byproduct

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

18.62 ₽

at 2.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 55.19 ₽ +18.25 (+33.1%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 68%
Losing outcome 33%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Silver

Factory New

float up to 0.007466

188.91 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.070933

326.48 ₽ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Panther Camo

Factory New

float up to 0.046666

454.22 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Tall Grass

Factory New

float up to 0.060666

425.36 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Picnic

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22.93 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Coral Paisley

Factory New

float up to 0.060666

22.81 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Calligrafaux

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

16.72 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Tec-9 | Banana Leaf

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

16.45 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | XoooM

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

13.04 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ancient Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Lake Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 4 The Train Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 6 The Lake Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +21.55 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +56.36 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ancient Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2204210 · The Ancient Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 83.13₽ · invest 191.82₽
sells slowly

P90 | Blue Tac (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Byproduct (Factory New); Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167463 instead of 0.167394; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.005314 instead of 0.005294
Craft 2204822 · The Ancient Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 82.69₽ · invest 191.47₽
sells slowly

Nova | Marsh Grass (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Byproduct (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ancient Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build