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The Arabesque Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +4.98$

Invest 37.35$

Average return 42.33$

ROI +13.3%

Chance of profit 35%

With float: invest at least 91.65 $, profit at most −49.32 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

24.96 $

at 3.57

Steam

×3

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

12.40 $

at 4.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 37.35 $ +4.98 (+13.3%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 22%
About break-even 42%

about break-even

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

42.28 $ 35.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Falak

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121621

72.76 $ 35.00%

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

29.00 $ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Corticera

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089189

22.72 $ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089189

17.91 $ 7.50%

Steam

about break-even

Nova | Bloomstick

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

42.64 $ 7.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arabesque Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Breakout Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Huntsman Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Dreams & Nightmares Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.13 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.64 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arabesque Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arabesque Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build