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The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +4.68$

Invest 11.55$

Average return 16.23$

ROI +40.6%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 28.89 $, profit at most −12.65 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

PP-Bizon | Osiris

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

3.17 $

at 3.17

Steam

×9

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

8.38 $

at 0.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.55 $ +4.68 (+40.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

2.53 $

at 2.53

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Osiris

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

3.17 $

at 3.17

Steam

×8

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

7.45 $

at 0.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.14 $ +3.60 (+27.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

5.05 $

at 2.53

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Osiris

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

3.17 $

at 3.17

Steam

×7

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

6.52 $

at 0.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14.74 $ +2.52 (+17.1%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Crane Flight

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

31.99 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

11.20 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Deathgaze

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

11.05 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

float up to 0.044999

25.34 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

24.60 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

21.98 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.07 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.11 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2218685 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 4.78$ · invest 10.05$
Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165898 instead of 0.165610
Craft 2215995 · The Clutch Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 4.72$ · invest 9.94$
rare inputs

Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165701 instead of 0.165610
Craft 2219197 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 4.63$ · invest 10.13$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165367 instead of 0.165610
Craft 2219486 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 4.57$ · invest 11.07$
rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Osiris (Factory New); MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165501 instead of 0.165610

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build