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The Danger Zone Collection + The Revolver Case Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +99.88$

Invest 96.46$

Average return 196.33$

ROI +103.5%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 236.74 $, profit at most −40.41 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −67 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

14.57 $

at 7.29

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

70.92 $

at 10.13

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1681

10.97 $

at 10.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 96.46 $ +99.88 (+103.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −64 $

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

7.29 $

at 7.29

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

40.53 $

at 10.13

Steam

×5

G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

54.85 $

at 10.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 102.66 $ +78.02 (+76.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −66 $

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Momentum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

6.20 $

at 6.20

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

60.79 $

at 10.13

Steam

×3

G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

32.91 $

at 10.97

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 99.90 $ +88.61 (+88.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

399.02 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.015384

61.56 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Royal Paladin

Factory New

float up to 0.024615

253.00 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

R8 Revolver | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.012307

117.53 $ 5.00%

pricier variants exist

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Revolver Case Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Revolver Case Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Revolver Case Collection Variant 6 The Falchion Collection instead of The Revolver Case Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +60.55 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +95.59 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Revolver Case Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2218109 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 104.33$ · invest 92.08$
profit on prices without salesat least −68 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) instead of G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075546 instead of 0.076309; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004853 instead of 0.005520
Craft 2214011 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 101.69$ · invest 99.49$
profit on prices without salesat least −75 $ rare inputs

P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) instead of G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074298 instead of 0.076309; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.003761 instead of 0.005520
Craft 2218386 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 101.25$ · invest 98.50$
profit on prices without salesat least −68 $ rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074493 instead of 0.076309; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.003932 instead of 0.005520

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Revolver Case Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build