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The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +33 189.16₸

Invest 46 475.88₸

Average return 79 665.04₸

ROI +71.4%

Chance of profit 100%

With float: invest at least 117 609.51 ₸, profit at most −37 944.48 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 258 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P250 | Kintsugi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

9 834.18 ₸

at 9 834.18

Steam

×9

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

36 641.70 ₸

at 4 071.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 46 475.88 ₸ +33 189.16 (+71.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 539 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Deathgaze

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

5 081.16 ₸

at 5 081.16

Steam

×1

P250 | Kintsugi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

9 834.18 ₸

at 9 834.18

Steam

×8

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

32 570.40 ₸

at 4 071.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 47 485.74 ₸ +32 573.23 (+68.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 820 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P90 | Deathgaze

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

10 162.32 ₸

at 5 081.16

Steam

×1

P250 | Kintsugi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

9 834.18 ₸

at 9 834.18

Steam

×7

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

28 499.10 ₸

at 4 071.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 48 495.60 ₸ +31 957.26 (+65.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 101 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

P90 | Deathgaze

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

15 243.48 ₸

at 5 081.16

Steam

×1

P250 | Kintsugi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

9 834.18 ₸

at 9 834.18

Steam

×6

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

24 427.80 ₸

at 4 071.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 49 505.46 ₸ +31 341.28 (+63.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −7 382 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Deathgaze

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

20 324.64 ₸

at 5 081.16

Steam

×1

P250 | Kintsugi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

9 834.18 ₸

at 9 834.18

Steam

×5

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

20 356.50 ₸

at 4 071.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 50 515.32 ₸ +30 725.36 (+60.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

102 324.12 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

worst

AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

79 999.48 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

96 088.84 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

95 294.65 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +24 457.09 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +30 574.52 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 13 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2210479 · The Breakout Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 33 179.41₸ · invest 48 618.43₸
profit on prices without salesat least −3 977 ₸ rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2221719 · The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 33 036.29₸ · invest 42 578.25₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Antique (Factory New) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2219713 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 32 729.01₸ · invest 43 590.41₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New)
Craft 2217535 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 32 533.86₸ · invest 41 239.39₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2221745 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 32 446.78₸ · invest 44 926.69₸
profit on prices without salesat least −1 441 ₸ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Factory New) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New)
Craft 2221273 · The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 32 388.77₸ · invest 44 455.41₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New)
Craft 2222053 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 32 145.63₸ · invest 45 513.59₸
sells slowly rare inputs

AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076609 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2221376 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 31 992.32₸ · invest 48 832.51₸
profit on prices without salesat least −8 793 ₸ rare inputs

MP9 | Airlock (Factory New) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New)
Craft 2222145 · The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 31 914.93₸ · invest 50 651.95₸
profit on prices without salesat least −1 244 ₸ rare inputs

Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2221551 · The Falchion Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 31 771.67₸ · invest 53 278.45₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2221990 · The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 31 647.59₸ · invest 43 972.32₸
profit on prices without salesat least −1 795 ₸ rare inputs

XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077019 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2221343 · The Falchion Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 31 099.60₸ · invest 46 476.26₸
profit on prices without salesat least −205 ₸ rare inputs

P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.077088
Craft 2215240 · The Chroma Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 30 593.01₸ · invest 46 475.88₸
profit on prices without salesat least −711 ₸ rare inputs

P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.077088

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build