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The Dead Hand Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +6.63$

Invest 66.32$

Average return 72.95$

ROI +10.0%

Chance of profit 95%

With float: invest at least 155.98 $, profit at most −83.04 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4865

30.08 $

at 5.01

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

22.02 $

at 7.34

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3846

14.22 $

at 14.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 66.32 $ +6.63 (+10.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −38 $

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5227

20.06 $

at 5.01

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1804

22.02 $

at 7.34

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3892

42.67 $

at 14.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 84.74 $ +0.42 (+0.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −22 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5022

25.07 $

at 5.01

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1718

22.02 $

at 7.34

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3866

28.45 $

at 14.22

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 75.53 $ +3.53 (+4.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 5%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 95%

about break-even

StatTrak™ AWP | Queen's Gambit

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

77.23 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

76.51 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

220.01 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

worst

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Stalker

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

74.18 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −3.90 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5.28 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2217441 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 6.89$ · invest 58.93$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.509468 instead of 0.486576; StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174868 instead of 0.165295
Craft 2216017 · The Clutch Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 6.80$ · invest 56.16$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.502019 instead of 0.486576; StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171753 instead of 0.165295
Craft 2218897 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 6.77$ · invest 63.09$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.505491 instead of 0.486576; StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173205 instead of 0.165295
Craft 2218669 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 6.53$ · invest 61.52$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Well-Worn)
Craft 2219574 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6.37$ · invest 65.00$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Well-Worn)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build