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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +1.41$

Invest 64.28$

Average return 65.69$

ROI +2.2%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest 67.02 $, profit −1.33 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −7 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 24 contracts · easy (by listings)

×9

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Battle-Scarred

any lot

54.75 $

at 6.08

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Well-Worn

any lot

9.53 $

at 9.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 64.28 $ +1.41 (+2.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 45%

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Nightwish

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.945000

69.99 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.756000

77.02 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.664250

98.40 $ 5.00%

price without deals price cut

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Fire Elemental

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.567000

89.55 $ 5.00%

price without deals price cut

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Falchion Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Fever Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The Gallery Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −6.26 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.46 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2213059 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 1.43$ · invest 68.07$
rare inputs

FAMAS | Djinn (Well-Worn) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Well-Worn); FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.889829 instead of 1.000000
Craft 2213060 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 1.43$ · invest 68.07$
profit on prices without salesat least −5 $ rare inputs

FAMAS | Djinn (Well-Worn) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Well-Worn)
Craft 2220781 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 1.41$ · invest 64.28$
profit on prices without salesat least −3 $ rare inputs

AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; P2000 | Fire Elemental: Field-Tested instead of Battle-Scarred; FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.638867 instead of 1.000000; SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Well-Worn): float at most 0.404037 instead of 0.450000
Craft 2220782 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 1.41$ · invest 64.28$
profit on prices without salesat least −3 $ rare inputs

P2000 | Fire Elemental: Field-Tested instead of Battle-Scarred; FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.658532 instead of 1.000000; SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Well-Worn): float at most 0.406540 instead of 0.450000
Craft 2220783 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 1.41$ · invest 64.28$
profit on prices without salesat least −7 $ rare inputs

P2000 | Fire Elemental: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.786354 instead of 1.000000; SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Well-Worn): float at most 0.422808 instead of 0.450000
Craft 2219971 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 1.38$ · invest 58.54$
Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Battle-Scarred) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Well-Worn); FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 1.000000
Craft 2220564 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1.37$ · invest 62.17$
rare inputs

G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Well-Worn); MP9 | Starlight Protector: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.576104 instead of 1.000000
Craft 2219884 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 1.36$ · invest 67.38$
rare inputs

MP9 | Airlock (Well-Worn) instead of SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Well-Worn)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build