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The Falchion Collection + The Revolution Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +74.19$

Invest 91.70$

Average return 165.89$

ROI +80.9%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 236.02 $, profit at most −70.13 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

80.74 $

at 8.97

Steam

×1

AWP | Duality

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

10.96 $

at 10.96

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 91.70 $ +74.19 (+80.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 5%
About break-even 5%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

225.48 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

176.29 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

97.51 $ 5.00%

Steam

about break-even

M4A4 | Temukau

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

101.99 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +57.19 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +69.06 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2221886 · The Falchion Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 81.61$ · invest 91.71$
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of AWP | Duality (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074284 instead of 0.076934
Craft 2221412 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 76.92$ · invest 98.66$
profit on prices without salesat least −10 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of AWP | Duality (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.076934
Craft 2214125 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 76.71$ · invest 101.45$
profit on prices without salesat least −13 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of AWP | Duality (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076905 instead of 0.076934
Craft 2221587 · The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 75.95$ · invest 89.26$
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of AWP | Duality (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076792 instead of 0.076934
Craft 2211434 · The CS20 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 75.00$ · invest 91.75$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of AWP | Duality (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.076934
Craft 2221305 · The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 74.78$ · invest 88.45$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of AWP | Duality (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076934
Craft 2221825 · The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 74.65$ · invest 90.52$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of AWP | Duality (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076934
Craft 2216100 · The Clutch Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 73.49$ · invest 92.01$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of AWP | Duality (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076737 instead of 0.076934

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Revolution Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build