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The Falchion Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +120.54₽

Invest 577.87₽

Average return 698.41₽

ROI +20.9%

Chance of profit 46%

With float: invest at least 1 357.39 ₽, profit at most −658.98 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

259.70 ₽

at 37.10

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

158.14 ₽

at 79.07

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

160.03 ₽

at 160.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 577.87 ₽ +120.54 (+20.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −77 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

259.70 ₽

at 37.10

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

79.07 ₽

at 79.07

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

320.06 ₽

at 160.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 658.83 ₽ +93.96 (+14.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −294 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

222.60 ₽

at 37.10

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Sandstorm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

271.12 ₽

at 135.56

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

320.06 ₽

at 160.03

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 813.78 ₽ +47.77 (+5.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −417 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

148.40 ₽

at 37.10

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

79.07 ₽

at 79.07

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Sandstorm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

677.80 ₽

at 135.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 905.27 ₽ +10.66 (+1.2%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 54%
About break-even 18%

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.080769

328.57 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

348.29 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 166.68 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.067307

689.85 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.208653

169.81 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Marina

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.110576

1 191.14 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Pulse

Factory New

float up to 0.053846

1 529.67 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Rose Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.040384

1 426.09 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Skull

Factory New

float up to 0.067307

1 317.10 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The Genesis Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +28.99 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +112.89 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2222099 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 114.73₽ · invest 569.12₽
rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163678 instead of 0.162393; StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074757 instead of 0.074310

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build