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The Fever Collection + The Glove Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +12.50$

Invest 25.85$

Average return 38.35$

ROI +48.4%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 62.59 $, profit at most −24.24 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×6

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

10.03 $

at 1.67

Steam

×4

M4A1-S | Flashback

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

15.82 $

at 3.96

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 25.85 $ +12.50 (+48.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

P90 | Wave Breaker

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

5.58 $

at 0.93

Steam

×3

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0073

5.01 $

at 1.67

Steam

×1

M4A1-S | Flashback

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1740

3.96 $

at 3.96

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14.55 $ +7.17 (+49.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Wave Breaker

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

3.72 $

at 0.93

Steam

×4

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

6.68 $

at 1.67

Steam

×2

M4A1-S | Flashback

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1702

7.91 $

at 3.96

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18.32 $ +8.95 (+48.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P90 | Wave Breaker

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

1.86 $

at 0.93

Steam

×5

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

8.35 $

at 1.67

Steam

×3

M4A1-S | Flashback

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1673

11.87 $

at 3.96

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 22.08 $ +10.72 (+48.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

0.84 $

at 0.84

Steam

×3

M4A1-S | Flashback

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

11.87 $

at 3.96

Steam

×6

Nova | Gila

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

47.61 $

at 7.94

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 60.32 $ +5.73 (+9.5%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

AK-47 | Searing Rage

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

18.01 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Shinobu

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22.52 $ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15.30 $ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | Mecha Industries

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

132.27 $ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Shallow Grave

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

56.98 $ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

57.74 $ 13.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Glove Collection

Variant 2 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Glove Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Glove Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6.67 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +11.36 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Glove Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2219992 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 14.70$ · invest 22.65$
sells slowly

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New); M4A1-S | Flashback (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2227783 · The Glove Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 13.81$ · invest 24.38$
sells slowly

MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) instead of Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New); M4A1-S | Flashback (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 4; M4A1-S | Flashback (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166121 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2216336 · The Clutch Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 12.58$ · invest 25.16$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New); M4A1-S | Flashback (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163660 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2227942 · The Glove Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 11.96$ · invest 29.89$
profit on prices without salesat least −0 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New); M4A1-S | Flashback (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; M4A1-S | Flashback (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171388 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2224200 · The Gallery Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 11.84$ · invest 34.18$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New); M4A1-S | Flashback (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165540 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2217782 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 11.70$ · invest 34.30$
Galil AR | Signal (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New); P90 | Shallow Grave: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; M4A1-S | Flashback (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 4; M4A1-S | Flashback (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163218 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2227548 · The Glove Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 11.45$ · invest 24.03$
sells slowly

Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New); M4A1-S | Flashback (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164386 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2227943 · The Glove Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 11.09$ · invest 31.27$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) instead of Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New); M4A1-S | Flashback (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163660 instead of 0.165131

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Glove Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build