to all crafts

The Gallery Collection + The Norse Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit −344.46$

Invest 353.07$

Average return 8.61$

ROI −97.6%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 767.11 $, profit at most −758.50 $

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 10.0% of the chance

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

share of fitting lots unknown assemble: no data

×7

P90 | Randy Rush

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

10.69 $

at 1.53

Steam

×2

P90 | Randy Rush

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

6.12 $

at 3.06

Steam

×1

AUG | Flame Jörmungandr

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3856

336.27 $

at 336.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 353.07 $ −344.46 (−97.6%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 20.0% of the chance

share of fitting lots unknown assemble: no data

×5

P90 | Randy Rush

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0795

7.64 $

at 1.53

Steam

×3

P90 | Randy Rush

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0083

9.18 $

at 3.06

Steam

×1

AUG | Flame Jörmungandr

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3883

336.27 $

at 336.27

Steam

×1

AUG | Flame Jörmungandr

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0795

410.01 $

at 410.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 763.09 $ −755.43 (−99.0%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 40.0% of the chance

share of fitting lots unknown assemble: no data

×2

P90 | Randy Rush

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

3.05 $

at 1.53

Steam

×4

P90 | Randy Rush

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

12.24 $

at 3.06

Steam

×1

AUG | Flame Jörmungandr

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3877

336.27 $

at 336.27

Steam

×3

AUG | Flame Jörmungandr

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0788

1 230.02 $

at 410.01

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 581.58 $ −1 575.84 (−99.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 0%
Losing outcome 90%
Above the Steam cap 10%

at a loss

best

AK-47 | The Outsiders

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134999

13.19 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Epicenter

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

9.20 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

10.62 $ 30.00%

Steam

Negev | Mjölnir

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089999

not on Steam: above the cap 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Gallery Collection + The Norse Collection

Variant 2 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Norse Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Norse Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Norse Collection Variant 5 The Radiant Collection instead of The Norse Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Norse Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −345.40 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −344.77 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Gallery Collection and The Norse Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Gallery Collection + The Norse Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build