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The Harlequin Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +242.92₴

Invest 544.57₴

Average return 787.49₴

ROI +44.6%

Chance of profit 36%

With float: invest at least 1 247.18 ₴, profit at most −459.69 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

156.72 ₴

at 39.18

Steam

×3

M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

102.41 ₴

at 34.14

Steam

×3

M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

285.44 ₴

at 95.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 544.57 ₴ +242.92 (+44.6%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 36%
Losing outcome 64%

at a loss

AWP | Exothermic

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

412.69 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

387.94 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Rat Rod

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 601.60 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Arctic Wolf

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

404.58 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

506.08 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Obsidian

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 021.42 ₴ 12.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Neon Ply

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

678.76 ₴ 12.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 6 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +92.75 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +183.44 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2223801 · The Fracture Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 242.34₴ · invest 448.01₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New)
Craft 2224820 · The Gallery Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 236.67₴ · invest 509.86₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New); M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161803 instead of 0.161794; M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074105 instead of 0.074102

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build