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The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +28.00$

Invest 118.67$

Average return 146.67$

ROI +23.6%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 297.41 $, profit at most −150.74 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

26.16 $

at 13.08

Steam

×8

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

92.51 $

at 11.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 118.67 $ +28.00 (+23.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1673

44.79 $

at 11.20

Steam

×2

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

26.16 $

at 13.08

Steam

×4

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1673

46.25 $

at 11.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 117.21 $ +3.18 (+2.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

33.60 $

at 11.20

Steam

×2

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

26.16 $

at 13.08

Steam

×5

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

57.82 $

at 11.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 117.58 $ +9.38 (+8.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

13.08 $

at 13.08

Steam

×7

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

80.94 $

at 11.56

Steam

×2

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

35.83 $

at 17.92

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 129.86 $ +23.38 (+18.0%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

22.40 $

at 11.20

Steam

×2

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

26.16 $

at 13.08

Steam

×6

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

69.38 $

at 11.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 117.94 $ +15.59 (+13.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

AK-47 | Jaguar

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.113636

119.34 $ 40.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

248.23 $ 40.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AUG | Chameleon

Factory New

float up to 0.056818

104.50 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.273181

111.94 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.42 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +18.04 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build