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The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +12.27$

Invest 28.32$

Average return 40.59$

ROI +43.3%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 72.85 $, profit at most −32.26 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1687

24.87 $

at 2.76

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

3.45 $

at 3.45

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 28.32 $ +12.27 (+43.3%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

58.90 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.137646

42.73 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097882

48.29 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Field-Tested

float up to 0.152941

11.58 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107058

19.70 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.132470

19.69 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 3 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 4 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 only The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6.04 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +11.41 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Spectrum 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2210977 · The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 12.72$ · invest 28.97$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Koi (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New); StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164978 instead of 0.168779
Craft 2210978 · The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 12.72$ · invest 28.97$
profit on prices without salesat least −0 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Koi (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New); StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167915 instead of 0.168779
Craft 2234208 · The Prisma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 12.70$ · invest 27.27$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Gauss (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New); StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161704 instead of 0.168779
Craft 2225722 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 12.69$ · invest 28.04$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New); StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165477 instead of 0.168779
Craft 2227867 · The Glove Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 12.47$ · invest 28.79$
profit on prices without salesat least −2 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Gila (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New); StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167915 instead of 0.168779
Craft 2226479 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 12.42$ · invest 28.82$
profit on prices without salesat least −1 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New); StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161704 instead of 0.168779
Craft 2233456 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 12.42$ · invest 30.02$
profit on prices without salesat least −0 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New); StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162249 instead of 0.168779
Craft 2236187 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 12.42$ · invest 28.32$
profit on prices without salesat least −0 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165701 instead of 0.168779; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New): float at most 0.004778 instead of 0.005715
Craft 2229448 · The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 11.87$ · invest 29.06$
profit on prices without salesat least −1 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New); StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161704 instead of 0.168779

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build