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The Winter Offensive Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +103 984.48₸

Invest 79 442.11₸

Average return 183 426.59₸

ROI +130.9%

Chance of profit 95%

With float: invest at least 199 565.33 ₸, profit at most −16 138.74 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −31 387 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

9 147.30 ₸

at 9 147.30

Steam

×1

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

5 247.46 ₸

at 5 247.46

Steam

×8

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

65 047.35 ₸

at 8 130.92

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 79 442.11 ₸ +103 984.48 (+130.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 5%
About break-even 5%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

340 313.76 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.050799

112 648.53 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

M4A4 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.237399

91 433.05 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | The Kraken

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

50 717.52 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Winter Offensive Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 only The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +70 146.96 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +79 505.08 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Winter Offensive Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 17 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2236407 · The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 111 722.76₸ · invest 76 827.25₸
profit on prices without salesat least −27 867 ₸ rare inputs

G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162546 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074363 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2229688 · The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 111 487.59₸ · invest 74 821.75₸
profit on prices without salesat least −25 985 ₸ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161774 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074095 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2233122 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 110 832.79₸ · invest 82 755.96₸
profit on prices without salesat least −38 676 ₸ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161774 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074095 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2222220 · The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 110 807.13₸ · invest 74 366.12₸
profit on prices without salesat least −25 837 ₸ rare inputs

SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2227464 · The Genesis Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 110 629.42₸ · invest 75 743.15₸
profit on prices without salesat least −26 621 ₸ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2213925 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 110 459.08₸ · invest 76 506.97₸
profit on prices without salesat least −22 707 ₸ rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162859 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074472 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2219677 · The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 110 191.17₸ · invest 75 375.99₸
profit on prices without salesat least −27 118 ₸ rare inputs

P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2215086 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 110 107.52₸ · invest 76 646.75₸
profit on prices without salesat least −32 567 ₸ rare inputs

P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163480 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074688 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2225996 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 110 070.47₸ · invest 76 656.48₸
profit on prices without salesat least −32 577 ₸ rare inputs

MP9 | Airlock (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2236960 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 109 910.22₸ · invest 76 197.27₸
profit on prices without salesat least −29 373 ₸ rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163765 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074787 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2223142 · The Fever Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 109 501.69₸ · invest 73 244.60₸
profit on prices without salesat least −23 665 ₸ rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2234060 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 109 458.15₸ · invest 73 817.44₸
profit on prices without salesat least −26 292 ₸ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2235864 · The Revolver Case Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 109 284.06₸ · invest 75 272.88₸
profit on prices without salesat least −28 874 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166090 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075596 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2220894 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 108 379.02₸ · invest 73 842.51₸
profit on prices without salesat least −24 787 ₸ rare inputs

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2225161 · The Gallery Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 108 342.03₸ · invest 75 135.93₸
profit on prices without salesat least −24 824 ₸ rare inputs

P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161774 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074095 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2236790 · The Snakebite Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 108 189.32₸ · invest 73 332.69₸
profit on prices without salesat least −27 115 ₸ rare inputs

XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162546 instead of 0.163167; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074363 instead of 0.074580
Craft 2237393 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 105 305.57₸ · invest 76 117.90₸
profit on prices without salesat least −27 861 ₸ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Winter Offensive Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build