The Breakout Collection + The Chroma Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit −12 498.71₴

Invest 40 061.32₴

Average return 27 562.61₴

ROI −31.2%

Chance of profit 28%

With float: invest at least 92 784.47 ₴, profit at most −65 221.87 ₴

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 5.3% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −18 136.48 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0802

9 563.63 ₴

at 9 563.63

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ AWP | Man-o'-war

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1064

30 497.68 ₴

at 7 624.42

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 40 061.32 ₴ −12 498.71 (−31.2%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 26%
Losing outcome 64%
About break-even 5%
Above the Steam cap 5%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

20 670.05 ₴ 2.67%

pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

27 421.37 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

11 572.15 ₴ 2.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.041666

15 059.37 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

12 326.07 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

18 508.49 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

15 059.38 ₴ 2.67%

pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

21 127.59 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

15 043.79 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.041666

13 831.03 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

8 000.48 ₴ 2.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

12 888.05 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

7 695.48 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

8 221.69 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

7 248.10 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.041666

7 290.45 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

5 175.61 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

53 369.93 ₴ 2.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

64 787.89 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

67 424.69 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.041666

51 689.15 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

37 721.88 ₴ 2.67%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

47 751.11 ₴ 2.67%

pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

49 241.05 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

40 894.67 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.041666

44 474.07 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

30 188.84 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

38 072.38 ₴ 2.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.006666

90 614.85 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.030833

66 295.65 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083333

60 377.11 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083333

40 278.14 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083333

72 450.02 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

40 502.52 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

36 226.03 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

76 980.26 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

56 151.40 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

39 577.63 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

31 628.06 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

51 695.35 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife

no wear

47 264.85 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) × 1 13% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 9 563.63 → 20 657.45 ₴

StatTrak™ AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) × 4 13% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 30 497.68 → 72 127.02 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.083333233

outcomes come out up to 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.041666, 0.449999, 0.121666, 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.041666, 0.449999, 0.121666, 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.041666, 0.449999, 0.121666, 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.041666, 0.449999, 0.121666, 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.006666, 0.041666, 0.449999, 0.121666, 0.006666, 0.030833, 0.083333, 0.083333, 0.083333, 0.121666, 0.121666, 0.121666, 0.121666, 0.121666, 0.121666, 0.121666, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Chroma Collection

Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Chroma Collection Variant 3 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Chroma Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −14 292.52 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −12 816.87 ₴ historical median

2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Chroma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2240957 · The Chroma Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −12 498.71₴ · invest 40 061.32₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2242501 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit −13 509.81₴ · invest 33 918.88₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.105979 instead of 0.106404
Craft 2242506 · The Chroma Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit −13 509.81₴ · invest 33 918.88₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.105979 instead of 0.106404
Craft 2242464 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit −13 577.21₴ · invest 34 891.79₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.104484 instead of 0.106404
Craft 2242473 · The Chroma Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit −13 577.21₴ · invest 34 891.79₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.104484 instead of 0.106404
Craft 2242431 · The Horizon Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit −13 605.58₴ · invest 33 934.91₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.105979 instead of 0.106404
Craft 2242437 · The Chroma Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit −13 605.58₴ · invest 33 934.91₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.105979 instead of 0.106404

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Chroma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build