The Operation Riptide Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −20 307.38₴

Invest 25 544.15₴

Average return 5 236.76₴

ROI −79.5%

Chance of profit 3%

With float: invest 26 745.94 ₴, profit −21 509.18 ₴

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −20 778.43 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

share of fitting lots unknown assemble: no data

×1

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.4360

3 956.25 ₴

at 3 956.25

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.4360

15 892.15 ₴

at 5 297.38

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.8907

5 695.74 ₴

at 5 695.74

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 25 544.15 ₴ −20 307.38 (−79.5%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 3%
Losing outcome 91%
About break-even 1%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

9 890.35 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Slaughter

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.141756

7 889.16 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

4 277.07 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

4 944.75 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

4 871.16 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Forest DDPAT

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

3 044.47 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Boreal Forest

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

2 117.26 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

4 952.67 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Night

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

3 971.05 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Scorched

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

2 847.76 ₴ 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Safari Mesh

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Urban Masked

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

3 531.59 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers

no wear

5 394.93 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

72 099.59 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.252972

38 210.10 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

35 219.84 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic

Well-Worn

float up to 0.447972

40 008.06 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

26 356.54 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water

Field-Tested

float up to 0.263513

30 188.84 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

14 613.47 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.252972

4 549.19 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore

Field-Tested

float up to 0.342567

5 519.27 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic

Well-Worn

float up to 0.447972

5 791.09 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

2 872.71 ₴ 0.67%

price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water

Field-Tested

float up to 0.263513

3 371.44 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

4 607.00 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.252972

2 922.69 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

3 309.21 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic

Well-Worn

float up to 0.447972

2 222.91 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

2 067.82 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water

Field-Tested

float up to 0.263513

2 276.82 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

11 500.00 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.252972

3 703.09 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

4 499.56 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic

Well-Worn

float up to 0.447972

3 706.34 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

2 876.96 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water

Field-Tested

float up to 0.263513

2 998.94 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.042162

12 969.66 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Freehand

Field-Tested

float up to 0.252972

3 725.66 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore

Field-Tested

float up to 0.342567

5 843.83 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic

Well-Worn

float up to 0.447972

6 787.60 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.527026

3 445.37 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water

Field-Tested

float up to 0.263513

3 008.76 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Well-Worn) × 1 80% of the wear range fits ×1.01 3 956.25 → 3 995.42 ₴

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Well-Worn) × 3 80% of the wear range fits ×1.07 15 892.15 → 16 998.25 ₴

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) × 1 80% of the wear range fits ×1.01 5 695.74 → 5 752.13 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.527026927

outcomes come out up to 0.042162, 0.141756, 0.527026, 0.527026, 0.527026, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.449999, 0.000000, 0.042162, 0.252972, 0.527026, 0.447972, 0.527026, 0.263513, 0.042162, 0.252972, 0.342567, 0.447972, 0.527026, 0.263513, 0.042162, 0.252972, 0.527026, 0.447972, 0.527026, 0.263513, 0.042162, 0.252972, 0.527026, 0.447972, 0.527026, 0.263513, 0.042162, 0.252972, 0.342567, 0.447972, 0.527026, 0.263513

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −21 023.22 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −20 277.26 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Riptide Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2245027 · The Shadow Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit −20 307.38₴ · invest 25 544.15₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Riptide Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build