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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +1 716.55₴

Invest 2 681.82₴

Average return 4 398.37₴

ROI +64.0%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 6 468.63 ₴, profit at most −2 070.26 ₴

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 170 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

147.85 ₴

at 73.93

Steam

×5

Souvenir AUG | Random Access

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

1 976.76 ₴

at 395.35

souvenirSteam

×3

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

557.20 ₴

at 185.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 681.82 ₴ +1 716.55 (+64.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 201 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1673

73.93 ₴

at 73.93

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

287.49 ₴

at 287.49

Steam

×8

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

1 485.87 ₴

at 185.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 847.29 ₴ +1 673.34 (+90.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 643 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

147.85 ₴

at 73.93

Steam

×7

Souvenir AUG | Random Access

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

2 767.47 ₴

at 395.35

souvenirSteam

×1

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

185.73 ₴

at 185.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 101.05 ₴ +1 648.41 (+53.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 012 ₴

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

AUG | Random Access

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

226.14 ₴

at 113.07

Steam

×4

Souvenir AUG | Random Access

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

1 581.41 ₴

at 395.35

souvenirSteam

×4

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

742.94 ₴

at 185.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 550.48 ₴ +1 672.34 (+65.6%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 42%
Losing outcome 50%
About break-even 8%

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Control Panel

Factory New

float up to 0.041666

10 336.31 ₴ 35.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | Remote Control

Factory New

float up to 0.041666

991.21 ₴ 35.00%

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.090833

1 303.62 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Corticera

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 151.25 ₴ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

P2000 | Corticera

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 208.05 ₴ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Bloomstick

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.090833

1 916.95 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Boreal Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Arabesque Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +847.50 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 514.00 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2248244 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 2 020.06₴ · invest 2 348.78₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 668 ₴ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161873 instead of 0.161795; Souvenir AUG | Random Access (Factory New): float at most 0.003613 instead of 0.003590
Craft 2248246 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 1 974.65₴ · invest 2 028.55₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 171 ₴ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 2; MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161725 instead of 0.161795; Souvenir AUG | Random Access (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 5; Souvenir AUG | Random Access (Factory New): float at most 0.003568 instead of 0.003590

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build