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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Aztec Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +17 900.51₸

Invest 18 634.35₸

Average return 36 534.85₸

ROI +96.1%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 46 026.81 ₸, profit at most −9 492.01 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −18 326 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

447.12 ₸

at 89.42

souvenirSteam

×5

Nova | Forest Leaves

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

18 187.22 ₸

at 3 637.44

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18 634.35 ₸ +17 900.51 (+96.1%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Jungle Spray

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

120 678.31 ₸ 25.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Jungle Tiger

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

45 387.64 ₸ 25.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Spalted Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

683.75 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Withered Vine

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

1 490.77 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

666.81 ₸ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Old Roots

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

1 147.23 ₸ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Aztec Collection

Variant 2 The Lake Collection instead of The Aztec Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Aztec Collection Variant 4 The Train Collection instead of The Aztec Collection Variant 5 The Overpass Collection instead of The Aztec Collection Variant 6 The Ancient Collection instead of The Aztec Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +13 348.24 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +17 354.50 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Aztec Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2257199 · The Aztec Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 18 226.07₸ · invest 18 363.61₸
profit on prices without salesat least −18 019 ₸ rare inputs

Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Nova | Forest Leaves (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2247509 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Aztec Collection · profit 18 021.28₸ · invest 18 293.32₸
profit on prices without salesat least −18 237 ₸ rare inputs

AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Nova | Forest Leaves (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2249799 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Aztec Collection · profit 17 954.15₸ · invest 18 493.23₸
profit on prices without salesat least −18 147 ₸ rare inputs

Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Nova | Forest Leaves (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074045 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2257184 · The Aztec Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 17 937.30₸ · invest 18 262.86₸
profit on prices without salesat least −18 164 ₸ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Nova | Forest Leaves (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2256430 · The Ascent Collection + The Aztec Collection · profit 17 893.35₸ · invest 18 267.40₸
profit on prices without salesat least −18 208 ₸ rare inputs

Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Nova | Forest Leaves (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2257176 · The Aztec Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 17 887.75₸ · invest 18 267.40₸
profit on prices without salesat least −18 214 ₸ rare inputs

M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Nova | Forest Leaves (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2252493 · The Achroma Collection + The Aztec Collection · profit 17 880.77₸ · invest 18 258.31₸
profit on prices without salesat least −18 221 ₸ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Nova | Forest Leaves (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2257197 · The Aztec Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 17 875.76₸ · invest 18 259.38₸
profit on prices without salesat least −18 226 ₸ rare inputs

Nova | Marsh Grass (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Nova | Forest Leaves (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074592 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2248163 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Aztec Collection · profit 17 875.02₸ · invest 18 294.13₸
profit on prices without salesat least −18 226 ₸ rare inputs

P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New)
Craft 2254263 · The Anubis Collection + The Aztec Collection · profit 17 848.37₸ · invest 18 825.44₸
profit on prices without salesat least −18 253 ₸ rare inputs

AUG | Snake Pit (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Nova | Forest Leaves (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074592 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2251126 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Aztec Collection · profit 17 749.45₸ · invest 19 256.79₸
profit on prices without salesat least −18 852 ₸ rare inputs

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Aztec Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build