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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +32 822.63₸

Invest 118 904.52₸

Average return 151 727.15₸

ROI +27.6%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 295 333.32 ₸, profit at most −143 606.17 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −118 022 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1670

20 829.72 ₸

at 10 414.86

souvenirSteam

×7

Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

96 046.31 ₸

at 13 720.90

souvenirSteam

×1

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

2 028.49 ₸

at 2 028.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 118 904.52 ₸ +32 822.63 (+27.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −94 765 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1671

10 414.86 ₸

at 10 414.86

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

82 325.41 ₸

at 13 720.90

souvenirSteam

×1

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1671

615.28 ₸

at 615.28

Steam

×2

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

4 056.99 ₸

at 2 028.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 97 412.54 ₸ +22 558.77 (+23.2%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

SSG 08 | Death Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

285 813.03 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.006999

99 678.62 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

M4A1-S | Party Animal

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

10 149.74 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +16 999.20 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +30 327.88 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Harlequin Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 22 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2249047 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 33 844.74₸ · invest 117 559.67₸
profit on prices without salesat least −117 000 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAG-7 | Heat (Field-Tested) instead of USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161619 instead of 0.167065; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.003536 instead of 0.005193
Craft 2249258 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 33 842.05₸ · invest 119 595.01₸
profit on prices without salesat least −119 142 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Antique (Minimal Wear) instead of USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162914 instead of 0.167065; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.003930 instead of 0.005193
Craft 2249535 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 33 837.51₸ · invest 118 048.54₸
profit on prices without salesat least −117 257 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171422 instead of 0.167065; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.006519 instead of 0.005193
Craft 2249167 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 33 837.03₸ · invest 117 569.03₸
profit on prices without salesat least −117 008 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear) instead of USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167772 instead of 0.167065; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.005409 instead of 0.005193
Craft 2249625 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 33 777.46₸ · invest 118 149.35₸
profit on prices without salesat least −117 067 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

P90 | Virus (Field-Tested) instead of USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163806 instead of 0.167065; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.004201 instead of 0.005193
Craft 2248859 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 33 719.45₸ · invest 117 810.95₸
profit on prices without salesat least −117 125 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Minimal Wear) instead of USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2249168 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 33 687.12₸ · invest 118 264.22₸
profit on prices without salesat least −117 157 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167491 instead of 0.167065; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.005323 instead of 0.005193
Craft 2249511 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 33 574.29₸ · invest 117 677.80₸
profit on prices without salesat least −117 270 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167384 instead of 0.167065; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.005290 instead of 0.005193
Craft 2248809 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The 2021 Train Collection · profit 33 517.33₸ · invest 120 731.18₸
profit on prices without salesat least −117 327 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Minimal Wear) instead of USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2249381 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 33 471.80₸ · invest 118 154.80₸
profit on prices without salesat least −117 545 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) instead of USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164883 instead of 0.167065; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.004529 instead of 0.005193
Craft 2249430 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 33 437.77₸ · invest 118 347.98₸
profit on prices without salesat least −117 407 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear) instead of USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166592 instead of 0.167065; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.005049 instead of 0.005193
Craft 2249623 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 33 432.67₸ · invest 120 875.71₸
profit on prices without salesat least −120 876 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

P90 | Blind Spot (Minimal Wear) instead of USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162914 instead of 0.167065; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.003930 instead of 0.005193
Craft 2249617 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 33 136.14₸ · invest 119 655.51₸
profit on prices without salesat least −118 555 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Nova | Rising Skull (Minimal Wear) instead of USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162914 instead of 0.167065; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.003930 instead of 0.005193
Craft 2249337 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 33 099.32₸ · invest 126 129.80₸
profit on prices without salesat least −126 130 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Red Rock (Field-Tested) instead of USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161619 instead of 0.167065; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.003536 instead of 0.005193
Craft 2249131 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 33 036.89₸ · invest 117 943.35₸
profit on prices without salesat least −117 808 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.176143 instead of 0.167065; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.007956 instead of 0.005193
Craft 2248969 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Bank Collection · profit 33 012.14₸ · invest 117 998.51₸
profit on prices without salesat least −117 832 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Emerald Pinstripe (Field-Tested) instead of USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161619 instead of 0.167065; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.003536 instead of 0.005193
Craft 2248918 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit 32 916.45₸ · invest 120 732.73₸
profit on prices without salesat least −117 928 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Nova | Graphite (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172368 instead of 0.167065; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.006807 instead of 0.005193
Craft 2249494 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 32 730.14₸ · invest 119 485.43₸
profit on prices without salesat least −118 641 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167346 instead of 0.167065; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.005279 instead of 0.005193
Craft 2248919 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit 32 014.42₸ · invest 120 433.29₸
profit on prices without salesat least −119 753 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174380 instead of 0.167065; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.007420 instead of 0.005193
Craft 2248881 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 31 963.23₸ · invest 128 246.01₸
profit on prices without salesat least −128 246 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Souvenir XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Minimal Wear) instead of USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162914 instead of 0.167065; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.003930 instead of 0.005193
Craft 2249007 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Bravo Collection · profit 31 336.59₸ · invest 125 830.53₸
profit on prices without salesat least −121 352 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Graven (Field-Tested) instead of USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163806 instead of 0.167065; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.004201 instead of 0.005193
Craft 2249622 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 31 101.95₸ · invest 124 422.23₸
profit on prices without salesat least −122 021 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested) instead of USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear); Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163806 instead of 0.167065; Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New): float at most 0.004201 instead of 0.005193

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Harlequin Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build