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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Nuke Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit +43.82$

Invest 162.52$

Average return 206.34$

ROI +27.0%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 401.42 $, profit at most −195.08 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −159 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Souvenir M249 | Midnight Palm

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

6.77 $

at 1.35

souvenirSteam

×5

P90 | Fallout Warning

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

155.75 $

at 31.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 162.52 $ +43.82 (+27.0%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

M4A4 | Radiation Hazard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

459.99 $ 50.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | New Roots

Factory New

float up to 0.007432

11.24 $ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Amber Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005405

23.07 $ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Quick Sand

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

10.73 $ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Black & Tan

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

13.36 $ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Nuke Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Nuke Collection Variant 3 The Arabesque Collection instead of The Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Nuke Collection Variant 5 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Nuke Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Nuke Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +20.11 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +37.02 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Nuke Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 16 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2256806 · The Ascent Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 52.79$ · invest 187.57$
profit on prices without salesat least −187 $ rare inputs

Nova | Turquoise Pour (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Midnight Palm (Factory New); P90 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; P90 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074074 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2255366 · The Arabesque Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 52.32$ · invest 188.97$
profit on prices without salesat least −188 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Sirocco Script (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Midnight Palm (Factory New); P90 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; P90 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2280050 · The Nuke Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 51.52$ · invest 189.72$
profit on prices without salesat least −188 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Black Site (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Midnight Palm (Factory New); P90 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; P90 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2254665 · The Anubis Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 46.87$ · invest 196.40$
profit on prices without salesat least −194 $ rare inputs

M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Midnight Palm (Factory New); P90 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; P90 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074189 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2248499 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 44.57$ · invest 157.02$
profit on prices without salesat least −155 $ rare inputs

Negev | Bulkhead (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Midnight Palm (Factory New)
Craft 2250249 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 44.22$ · invest 161.67$
profit on prices without salesat least −161 $ rare inputs

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Midnight Palm (Factory New)
Craft 2258013 · The Boreal Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 44.12$ · invest 156.47$
profit on prices without salesat least −156 $ rare inputs

SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Midnight Palm (Factory New); P90 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074592 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2277125 · The Harlequin Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 44.04$ · invest 156.58$
profit on prices without salesat least −156 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Midnight Palm (Factory New); P90 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2280014 · The Nuke Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 43.94$ · invest 156.46$
profit on prices without salesat least −156 $ rare inputs

SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Midnight Palm (Factory New); P90 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2252822 · The Achroma Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 43.86$ · invest 156.51$
profit on prices without salesat least −156 $ rare inputs

FAMAS | Vendetta (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Midnight Palm (Factory New); P90 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2280036 · The Nuke Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 43.67$ · invest 156.66$
profit on prices without salesat least −156 $ rare inputs

M249 | Gator Mesh (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Midnight Palm (Factory New); P90 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2278649 · The Italy Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 43.56$ · invest 157.01$
profit on prices without salesat least −156 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | CaliCamo (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Midnight Palm (Factory New); P90 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2276744 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 43.54$ · invest 157.99$
profit on prices without salesat least −156 $ rare inputs

Galil AR | NV (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Midnight Palm (Factory New); P90 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074205 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2279529 · The Lake Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 43.39$ · invest 156.97$
profit on prices without salesat least −157 $ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Night Ops (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Midnight Palm (Factory New); P90 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2269645 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 43.04$ · invest 157.87$
profit on prices without salesat least −158 $ rare inputs

Tec-9 | VariCamo (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Midnight Palm (Factory New); P90 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2251805 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Nuke Collection · profit 41.25$ · invest 165.40$
profit on prices without salesat least −160 $ rare inputs

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Breaker Box (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Midnight Palm (Factory New); P90 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074045 instead of 0.074357

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Nuke Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build