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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Overpass Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +96.79₽

Invest 145.62₽

Average return 242.41₽

ROI +66.5%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 364.44 ₽, profit at most −122.03 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

33.46 ₽

at 16.73

souvenirSteam

×8

Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1702

112.16 ₽

at 14.02

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 145.62 ₽ +96.79 (+66.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

16.73 ₽

at 16.73

souvenirSteam

×8

Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1693

112.16 ₽

at 14.02

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

28.00 ₽

at 28.00

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 156.89 ₽ +95.55 (+60.9%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Urban DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

301.90 ₽ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

499.00 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Grassland

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

190.15 ₽ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Gunsmoke

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

216.27 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Spalted Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.058378

127.92 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Withered Vine

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

278.90 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

124.75 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Old Roots

Factory New

float up to 0.060810

214.63 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Overpass Collection

Variant 2 The Lake Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 4 The Train Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 5 The Ancient Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 6 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +43.83 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +77.25 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The Overpass Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 19 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2250299 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 100.81₽ · invest 135.06₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165883 instead of 0.170222
Craft 2253875 · The Ancient Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 99.95₽ · invest 162.16₽
profit on prices without salesat least −5 ₽ rare inputs

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168944 instead of 0.170222
Craft 2269674 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 95.97₽ · invest 117.82₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164183 instead of 0.170222
Craft 2281712 · The Overpass Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 95.21₽ · invest 117.82₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164183 instead of 0.170222
Craft 2281778 · The Overpass Collection + The Train Collection · profit 95.06₽ · invest 119.56₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Forest Night (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.170222
Craft 2269675 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 94.98₽ · invest 117.82₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.170222
Craft 2256854 · The Ascent Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 94.59₽ · invest 118.16₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166379 instead of 0.170222
Craft 2277170 · The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 94.38₽ · invest 117.82₽
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166379 instead of 0.170222
Craft 2252869 · The Achroma Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 94.32₽ · invest 117.48₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166379 instead of 0.170222
Craft 2258072 · The Boreal Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 93.93₽ · invest 118.16₽
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161681 instead of 0.170222
Craft 2258073 · The Boreal Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 93.88₽ · invest 117.71₽
sells slowly rare inputs

FAMAS | Palm (Minimal Wear), M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161932 instead of 0.170222
Craft 2256856 · The Ascent Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 81.79₽ · invest 107.14₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163536 instead of 0.170222
Craft 2277172 · The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 81.50₽ · invest 106.35₽
sells slowly rare inputs

MP9 | Bee-Tron (Minimal Wear), PP-Bizon | Thermal Currents (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163608 instead of 0.170222
Craft 2252871 · The Achroma Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 81.21₽ · invest 106.12₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Zinc (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170541 instead of 0.170222
Craft 2258074 · The Boreal Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 81.09₽ · invest 107.14₽
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163536 instead of 0.170222
Craft 2256857 · The Ascent Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 81.00₽ · invest 107.14₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166431 instead of 0.170222
Craft 2258075 · The Boreal Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 80.81₽ · invest 107.14₽
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167348 instead of 0.170222
Craft 2281669 · The Overpass Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 80.76₽ · invest 106.24₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Marsh Grass (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163368 instead of 0.170222
Craft 2258076 · The Boreal Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 80.49₽ · invest 106.69₽
sells slowly rare inputs

FAMAS | Palm (Minimal Wear), M249 | Sage Camo (Factory New) instead of Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161941 instead of 0.170222

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Overpass Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build