to all crafts

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The 2021 Train Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +4 009.54₴

Invest 5 942.27₴

Average return 9 951.81₴

ROI +67.5%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 14 930.43 ₴, profit at most −4 978.63 ₴

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 963 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

1 484.56 ₴

at 1 484.56

souvenirSteam

×9

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

4 457.71 ₴

at 495.30

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 942.27 ₴ +4 009.54 (+67.5%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.005405

3 863.22 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

float up to 0.008378

3 723.87 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 351.36 ₴ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox

Factory New

float up to 0.010810

25 939.91 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Factory New

float up to 0.007432

11 321.03 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The 2021 Train Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Arabesque Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 900.22 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3 844.28 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The 2021 Train Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 21 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2248808 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The 2021 Train Collection · profit 4 175.15₴ · invest 5 816.86₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 838 ₴ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New)
Craft 2248036 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Train Collection · profit 3 971.21₴ · invest 4 853.07₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 831 ₴ rare inputs

Souvenir AUG | Random Access (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005515 instead of 0.005361
Craft 2250808 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 3 941.69₴ · invest 4 810.05₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 411 ₴ rare inputs

AWP | PAW (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005515 instead of 0.005361
Craft 2250836 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 3 914.26₴ · invest 4 744.10₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 696 ₴ rare inputs

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005591 instead of 0.005361
Craft 2250849 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 3 903.08₴ · invest 6 285.46₴
profit on prices without salesat least −4 306 ₴ rare inputs

AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005058 instead of 0.005361
Craft 2250811 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 3 883.51₴ · invest 4 856.76₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 681 ₴ rare inputs

MAC-10 | Tatter (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005515 instead of 0.005361
Craft 2250870 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 3 882.42₴ · invest 4 724.64₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 470 ₴ rare inputs

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005632 instead of 0.005361
Craft 2250906 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3 879.32₴ · invest 4 716.19₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 525 ₴ rare inputs

MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005604 instead of 0.005361
Craft 2250912 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 3 876.81₴ · invest 4 914.65₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 935 ₴ rare inputs

AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005647 instead of 0.005361
Craft 2250959 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 3 858.51₴ · invest 4 709.83₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 690 ₴ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005466 instead of 0.005361
Craft 2250658 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 3 857.45₴ · invest 5 918.70₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 939 ₴ rare inputs

Souvenir USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005466 instead of 0.005361
Craft 2250853 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 3 855.68₴ · invest 4 714.61₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 514 ₴ rare inputs

USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005377 instead of 0.005361
Craft 2250886 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 3 849.74₴ · invest 4 685.69₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 623 ₴ rare inputs

XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005621 instead of 0.005361
Craft 2250790 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 3 831.53₴ · invest 4 810.08₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 596 ₴ rare inputs

Nova | Gila (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005230 instead of 0.005361
Craft 2250715 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 3 826.75₴ · invest 4 684.60₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 678 ₴ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005515 instead of 0.005361
Craft 2250948 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 3 825.90₴ · invest 4 862.48₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 527 ₴ rare inputs

MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005647 instead of 0.005361
Craft 2250798 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Graphic Design Collection · profit 3 819.23₴ · invest 5 147.78₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 997 ₴ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005571 instead of 0.005361
Craft 2250843 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 3 809.12₴ · invest 4 785.77₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 720 ₴ rare inputs

XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005669 instead of 0.005361
Craft 2250650 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 3 807.85₴ · invest 4 714.84₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 545 ₴ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005647 instead of 0.005361
Craft 2250670 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit 3 769.84₴ · invest 4 839.74₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 583 ₴ rare inputs

Nova | Graphite (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.004382 instead of 0.005361
Craft 2250674 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 3 760.47₴ · invest 4 704.82₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 592 ₴ rare inputs

USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New) instead of Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005591 instead of 0.005361

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The 2021 Train Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build