to all crafts

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ancient Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +6 100.66₸

Invest 16 784.33₸

Average return 22 884.99₸

ROI +36.4%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 40 612.74 ₸, profit at most −17 727.75 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −16 784 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir M249 | Humidor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

1 377.72 ₸

at 1 377.72

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

4 134.92 ₸

at 1 378.31

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1027

11 271.69 ₸

at 1 878.61

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 16 784.33 ₸ +6 100.66 (+36.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −16 282 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Souvenir M249 | Humidor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

5 510.87 ₸

at 1 377.72

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1688

1 378.31 ₸

at 1 378.31

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1040

9 393.07 ₸

at 1 878.61

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 16 282.26 ₸ +4 212.75 (+25.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −15 321 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

9 727.84 ₸

at 1 389.69

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir M249 | Humidor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

3 714.90 ₸

at 1 857.45

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1033

1 878.61 ₸

at 1 878.61

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 15 321.35 ₸ +1 190.37 (+7.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −15 343 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

9 727.84 ₸

at 1 389.69

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir M249 | Humidor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

1 857.45 ₸

at 1 857.45

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1030

3 757.23 ₸

at 1 878.61

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 15 342.52 ₸ +1 965.85 (+12.8%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 7%
About break-even 3%

in profit

best

MAC-10 | Gold Brick

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

37 221.65 ₸ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Ancient Visions

Factory New

float up to 0.044999

22 984.25 ₸ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Ancient Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

21 495.72 ₸ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Sand Storm

Factory New

float up to 0.049999

17 848.98 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.133999

18 787.65 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

float up to 0.036999

17 580.28 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ancient Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Ancient Collection Variant 6 The Arabesque Collection instead of The Ancient Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 075.26 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5 055.25 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Ancient Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 28 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2248094 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 6 537.27₸ · invest 15 637.52₸
profit on prices without salesat least −14 860 ₸ rare inputs

P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2251004 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 6 292.98₸ · invest 17 227.98₸
profit on prices without salesat least −17 228 ₸ rare inputs

Souvenir Nova | Interlock (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2253702 · The Ancient Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 6 055.83₸ · invest 15 615.07₸
profit on prices without salesat least −15 258 ₸ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165166 instead of 0.162455; Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.103297 instead of 0.102707
Craft 2254130 · The Ancient Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 6 024.37₸ · invest 15 719.73₸
profit on prices without salesat least −15 289 ₸ rare inputs

XM1014 | Run Run Run (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162950 instead of 0.162455; Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.102815 instead of 0.102707
Craft 2252425 · The Achroma Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 5 997.65₸ · invest 15 596.10₸
profit on prices without salesat least −15 316 ₸ rare inputs

AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161628 instead of 0.162455; Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.102527 instead of 0.102707
Craft 2253949 · The Ancient Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 5 982.82₸ · invest 15 589.25₸
profit on prices without salesat least −15 331 ₸ rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2252426 · The Achroma Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 5 954.22₸ · invest 15 568.46₸
profit on prices without salesat least −15 359 ₸ rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165034 instead of 0.162455; Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.103268 instead of 0.102707
Craft 2253950 · The Ancient Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 5 944.07₸ · invest 15 717.11₸
profit on prices without salesat least −15 369 ₸ rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168018 instead of 0.162455; Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.103917 instead of 0.102707
Craft 2247452 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 5 940.62₸ · invest 15 746.62₸
profit on prices without salesat least −15 373 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168567 instead of 0.162455; Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.104036 instead of 0.102707
Craft 2253386 · The Ancient Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 5 934.17₸ · invest 15 486.04₸
profit on prices without salesat least −15 379 ₸ rare inputs

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164311 instead of 0.162455; Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.103111 instead of 0.102707
Craft 2253329 · The Ancient Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 5 933.15₸ · invest 15 638.05₸
profit on prices without salesat least −15 380 ₸ rare inputs

P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164311 instead of 0.162455; Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.103111 instead of 0.102707
Craft 2253859 · The Ancient Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 5 929.23₸ · invest 15 557.50₸
profit on prices without salesat least −15 384 ₸ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2253659 · The Ancient Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 5 903.02₸ · invest 15 990.68₸
profit on prices without salesat least −15 410 ₸ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Polymer (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2253718 · The Ancient Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 5 900.79₸ · invest 15 681.14₸
profit on prices without salesat least −15 494 ₸ rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2254029 · The Ancient Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 5 899.81₸ · invest 15 584.02₸
profit on prices without salesat least −15 414 ₸ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166678 instead of 0.162455; Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.103625 instead of 0.102707
Craft 2253542 · The Ancient Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 5 899.65₸ · invest 15 466.69₸
profit on prices without salesat least −15 414 ₸ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163820 instead of 0.162455; Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.103004 instead of 0.102707
Craft 2253543 · The Ancient Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 5 896.83₸ · invest 15 478.93₸
profit on prices without salesat least −15 417 ₸ rare inputs

P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162103 instead of 0.162455; Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.102631 instead of 0.102707
Craft 2253860 · The Ancient Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 5 895.33₸ · invest 15 673.87₸
profit on prices without salesat least −15 418 ₸ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162062 instead of 0.162455; Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.102622 instead of 0.102707
Craft 2253892 · The Ancient Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 5 894.77₸ · invest 15 633.56₸
profit on prices without salesat least −15 419 ₸ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161611 instead of 0.162455; Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.102524 instead of 0.102707
Craft 2253387 · The Ancient Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 5 894.42₸ · invest 15 577.87₸
profit on prices without salesat least −15 419 ₸ rare inputs

XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168156 instead of 0.162455; Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.103947 instead of 0.102707
Craft 2253761 · The Ancient Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 5 892.62₸ · invest 15 466.05₸
profit on prices without salesat least −15 421 ₸ rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165640 instead of 0.162455; Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.103400 instead of 0.102707
Craft 2253959 · The Ancient Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 5 888.77₸ · invest 15 477.81₸
profit on prices without salesat least −15 425 ₸ rare inputs

Galil AR | Destroyer (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165657 instead of 0.162455; Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.103403 instead of 0.102707
Craft 2253970 · The Ancient Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 5 887.89₸ · invest 15 467.06₸
profit on prices without salesat least −15 426 ₸ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166494 instead of 0.162455; Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.103585 instead of 0.102707
Craft 2253971 · The Ancient Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 5 887.57₸ · invest 15 475.72₸
profit on prices without salesat least −15 426 ₸ rare inputs

P250 | Re.built (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162410 instead of 0.162455; Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.102697 instead of 0.102707
Craft 2253330 · The Ancient Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 5 886.53₸ · invest 15 824.12₸
profit on prices without salesat least −15 427 ₸ rare inputs

P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168156 instead of 0.162455; Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.103947 instead of 0.102707
Craft 2254096 · The Ancient Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 5 885.75₸ · invest 15 609.57₸
profit on prices without salesat least −15 428 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165657 instead of 0.162455; Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.103403 instead of 0.102707
Craft 2253612 · The Ancient Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 5 885.44₸ · invest 15 587.81₸
profit on prices without salesat least −15 428 ₸ rare inputs

MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163040 instead of 0.162455; Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.102834 instead of 0.102707
Craft 2253533 · The Ancient Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 5 885.02₸ · invest 15 511.75₸
profit on prices without salesat least −15 428 ₸ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Minimal Wear); Souvenir Tec-9 | Blast From the Past (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168123 instead of 0.162455; Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.103939 instead of 0.102707

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Ancient Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build