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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Bravo Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit −4 883.43₽

Invest 17 338.34₽

Average return 12 454.91₽

ROI −28.2%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest 17 949.58 ₽, profit −5 494.67 ₽

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.7% of the chance

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 6 contracts · easy (by listings)

×8

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Field-Tested

any lot

13 987.84 ₽

at 1 748.48

souvenirSteam

×2

MAC-10 | Graven

Field-Tested

any lot

3 350.50 ₽

at 1 675.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17 338.34 ₽ −4 883.43 (−28.2%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 0%
Losing outcome 93%
Above the Steam cap 7%

at a loss

best

Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.709189

18 254.89 ₽ 40.00%

price without deals price cut

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.487567

12 735.56 ₽ 40.00%

price without deals price cut

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Graphite

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.106378

14 348.91 ₽ 6.67%

price without deals price cut

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Ocean Foam

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.106378

14 555.59 ₽ 6.67%

price without deals price cut

Steam

P90 | Emerald Dragon

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.467783

not on Steam: above the cap 6.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Bravo Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Phoenix Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −5 563.58 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −4 915.15 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Bravo Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Bravo Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build