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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Nuke Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit −14 007.47₽

Invest 20 682.32₽

Average return 6 674.85₽

ROI −67.7%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 46 764.33 ₽, profit at most −40 089.48 ₽

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 10.0% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −16 918.91 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×8

Souvenir M249 | Humidor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

2 780.00 ₽

at 347.50

souvenirSteam

×2

M4A4 | Radiation Hazard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

17 902.32 ₽

at 8 951.16

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 20 682.32 ₽ −14 007.47 (−67.7%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 80%
Above the Steam cap 10%

at a loss

AUG | Sand Storm

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

3 339.27 ₽ 26.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 601.42 ₽ 26.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

float up to 0.004999

3 289.00 ₽ 26.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

P250 | Nuclear Threat

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 708.61 ₽ 10.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Nuke Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Nuke Collection Variant 3 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Nuke Collection Variant 5 The Arabesque Collection instead of The Nuke Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The Nuke Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −14 522.25 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −14 099.41 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Nuke Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Nuke Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build