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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +7 024.12₽

Invest 20 963.84₽

Average return 27 987.96₽

ROI +33.5%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 50 511.36 ₽, profit at most −22 523.41 ₽

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −20 546 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

9 452.65 ₽

at 1 890.53

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

11 215.36 ₽

at 2 803.84

souvenirSteam

×1

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

295.83 ₽

at 295.83

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 20 963.84 ₽ +7 024.12 (+33.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −12 335 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

9 452.65 ₽

at 1 890.53

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

2 803.84 ₽

at 2 803.84

souvenirSteam

×1

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

295.83 ₽

at 295.83

Steam

×3

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

1 455.60 ₽

at 485.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14 007.92 ₽ +6 152.33 (+43.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −15 072 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

9 452.65 ₽

at 1 890.53

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

5 607.68 ₽

at 2 803.84

souvenirSteam

×1

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

295.83 ₽

at 295.83

Steam

×2

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

970.40 ₽

at 485.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 16 326.56 ₽ +6 442.93 (+39.5%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox

Factory New

float up to 0.066666

48 991.88 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis

Factory New

float up to 0.045833

21 381.67 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Redline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

13 266.01 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Antique

Factory New

float up to 0.024999

1 110.64 ₽ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.135833

1 165.02 ₽ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Shadow Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 only The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +130.70 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6 661.47 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2249655 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The 2021 Vertigo Collection · profit 7 550.91₽ · invest 22 468.01₽
profit on prices without salesat least −22 468 ₽ rare inputs

Souvenir P250 | Digital Architect (Minimal Wear) instead of FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161530 instead of 0.165205; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.003509 instead of 0.004627
Craft 2250170 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 6 887.32₽ · invest 21 421.67₽
profit on prices without salesat least −21 050 ₽ rare inputs

MAC-10 | Tatter (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165922 instead of 0.165205; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.004846 instead of 0.004627
Craft 2250501 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 6 844.95₽ · invest 20 887.37₽
profit on prices without salesat least −20 739 ₽ rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170088 instead of 0.165205; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.006114 instead of 0.004627
Craft 2249910 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 6 832.33₽ · invest 20 809.89₽
profit on prices without salesat least −20 705 ₽ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) instead of FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168540 instead of 0.165205; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.005642 instead of 0.004627
Craft 2250062 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 6 816.82₽ · invest 20 927.72₽
profit on prices without salesat least −20 721 ₽ rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested); Souvenir Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166231 instead of 0.165205; Souvenir XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New): float at most 0.004940 instead of 0.004627

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build