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The 2021 Train Collection + The Achroma Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +233.06₴

Invest 1 822.33₴

Average return 2 055.39₴

ROI +12.8%

Chance of profit 100%

With float: invest at least 4 207.85 ₴, profit at most −2 152.47 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

495.30 ₴

at 495.30

Steam

×6

Glock-18 | Trace Lock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

555.66 ₴

at 92.61

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | Trace Lock

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

771.37 ₴

at 257.12

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 822.33 ₴ +233.06 (+12.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 90%

about break-even

worst

AWP | The End

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 195.48 ₴ 90.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

3 863.22 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

3 723.87 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

4 045.73 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Achroma Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Achroma Collection Variant 4 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 5 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The Achroma Collection Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −104.79 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +78.81 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Achroma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2253105 · The Achroma Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 239.07₴ · invest 1 690.88₴
rare inputs

Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) instead of Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New); Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077106 instead of 0.076892; Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Factory New): float at most 0.006218 instead of 0.006030
Craft 2253113 · The Achroma Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 236.11₴ · invest 1 825.21₴
profit on prices without salesat least −107 ₴ rare inputs

P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) instead of Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New); Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077106 instead of 0.076892; Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Factory New): float at most 0.006218 instead of 0.006030

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Achroma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build