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The 2021 Train Collection + The Canals Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit −2 703.84₽

Invest 3 141.49₽

Average return 437.65₽

ROI −86.1%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest 3 179.73 ₽, profit −2 742.08 ₽

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 10.0% of the chance

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 6 contracts · easy (by listings)

×2

SSG 08 | Spring Twilly

Field-Tested

any lot

298.00 ₽

at 149.00

Steam

×7

Tec-9 | Safety Net

Battle-Scarred

any lot

1 049.93 ₽

at 149.99

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Violet Murano

Field-Tested

any lot

1 793.56 ₽

at 1 793.56

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 141.49 ₽ −2 703.84 (−86.1%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 0%
Losing outcome 90%
Above the Steam cap 10%

at a loss

AWP | POP AWP

Well-Worn

float up to 0.402240

579.87 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.639927

460.00 ₽ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Space Race

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.548509

489.99 ₽ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.530225

553.06 ₽ 18.00%

price without deals price cut

Steam

at a loss

best

Nova | Red Quartz

Field-Tested

float up to 0.365672

713.17 ₽ 18.00%

price without deals price cut

Steam

MAC-10 | Red Filigree

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.457090

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

MP9 | Stained Glass

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.457090

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

Nova | Baroque Orange

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.457090

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Canals Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Canals Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Canals Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Canals Collection Variant 6 The Arabesque Collection instead of The Canals Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −2 762.90 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −2 712.23 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Canals Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Canals Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build