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The 2021 Train Collection + The Fever Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +284.62₽

Invest 2 607.94₽

Average return 2 892.56₽

ROI +10.9%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 6 140.82 ₽, profit at most −3 248.26 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

1 867.60 ₽

at 466.90

Steam

×2

P90 | Wave Breaker

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

173.90 ₽

at 86.95

Steam

×4

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

566.44 ₽

at 141.61

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 607.94 ₽ +284.62 (+10.9%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

AK-47 | Searing Rage

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.112903

700.00 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Shinobu

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.112903

738.46 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.112903

546.74 ₽ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.045161

7 296.34 ₽ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 033.15 ₽ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Whiteout

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.143548

7 641.04 ₽ 13.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 3 The Horizon Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 5 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −321.79 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +72.60 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build