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The 2021 Train Collection + The Gods and Monsters Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit −9 763.12₴

Invest 12 107.43₴

Average return 2 344.31₴

ROI −80.6%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest 12 184.25 ₴, profit −9 839.94 ₴

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 10.0% of the chance

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 3 contracts · medium (by listings)

×1

SSG 08 | Spring Twilly

Field-Tested

any lot

78.89 ₴

at 78.89

Steam

×7

Tec-9 | Safety Net

Battle-Scarred

any lot

555.91 ₴

at 79.42

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Minotaur's Labyrinth

Field-Tested

any lot

11 472.63 ₴

at 5 736.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12 107.43 ₴ −9 763.12 (−80.6%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 80%
Above the Steam cap 10%

at a loss

AWP | POP AWP

Well-Worn

float up to 0.424143

307.03 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.674773

243.56 ₴ 16.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Space Race

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.578377

259.44 ₴ 16.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.559098

292.83 ₴ 16.00%

price without deals price cut

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Red Quartz

Well-Worn

float up to 0.385585

377.60 ₴ 16.00%

price without deals price cut

Steam

G3SG1 | Chronos

Well-Worn

float up to 0.385585

not on Steam: above the cap 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Icarus Fell

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.096396

24 590.82 ₴ 10.00%

price without deals price cut

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Gods and Monsters Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Gods and Monsters Collection Variant 3 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Gods and Monsters Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Gods and Monsters Collection Variant 5 The Arabesque Collection instead of The Gods and Monsters Collection Variant 6 The Harlequin Collection instead of The Gods and Monsters Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −10 107.77 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −9 998.13 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Gods and Monsters Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Gods and Monsters Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build