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The 2021 Train Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +92.31$

Invest 103.30$

Average return 195.61$

ROI +89.4%

Chance of profit 32%

With float: invest at least 269.73 $, profit at most −74.12 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −59 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

99.16 $

at 11.02

Steam

×1

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

4.13 $

at 4.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 103.30 $ +92.31 (+89.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −84 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

33.05 $

at 11.02

Steam

×4

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

16.53 $

at 4.13

Steam

×3

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0608

49.47 $

at 16.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 99.05 $ +34.58 (+34.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −76 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

55.09 $

at 11.02

Steam

×3

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

12.40 $

at 4.13

Steam

×2

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0607

32.98 $

at 16.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 100.47 $ +53.82 (+53.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −82 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

22.04 $

at 11.02

Steam

×5

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

20.66 $

at 4.13

Steam

×3

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0607

49.47 $

at 16.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 92.16 $ +31.14 (+33.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −74 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

44.07 $

at 11.02

Steam

×4

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

16.53 $

at 4.13

Steam

×2

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0606

32.98 $

at 16.49

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 93.58 $ +50.38 (+53.8%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 32%
Losing outcome 68%

at a loss

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.005405

85.94 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

float up to 0.008378

82.84 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

541.71 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

111.98 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | Corticera

Factory New

float up to 0.063243

181.33 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

P2000 | Corticera

Factory New

float up to 0.063243

71.37 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Bloomstick

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

107.46 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Arabesque Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +53.53 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +89.19 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 28 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2250704 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 89.28$ · invest 100.84$
profit on prices without salesat least −53 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.003673 instead of 0.005058
Craft 2250684 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit 87.47$ · invest 102.46$
profit on prices without salesat least −56 $ rare inputs

Nova | Koi (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005230 instead of 0.005058
Craft 2250749 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 87.33$ · invest 100.22$
profit on prices without salesat least −55 $ rare inputs

Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.003991 instead of 0.005058
Craft 2250860 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 86.82$ · invest 100.90$
profit on prices without salesat least −56 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005405 instead of 0.005058
Craft 2250778 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 86.75$ · invest 102.64$
profit on prices without salesat least −57 $ rare inputs

P90 | Chopper (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005591 instead of 0.005058
Craft 2250879 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 86.48$ · invest 100.05$
profit on prices without salesat least −55 $ rare inputs

MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005063 instead of 0.005058
Craft 2250742 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 86.37$ · invest 100.41$
profit on prices without salesat least −55 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005515 instead of 0.005058
Craft 2250770 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 86.35$ · invest 101.58$
profit on prices without salesat least −55 $ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005454 instead of 0.005058
Craft 2250921 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 86.34$ · invest 101.92$
profit on prices without salesat least −57 $ rare inputs

SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005591 instead of 0.005058
Craft 2250717 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 86.21$ · invest 100.67$
profit on prices without salesat least −55 $ rare inputs

Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005556 instead of 0.005058
Craft 2250755 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 86.14$ · invest 100.83$
profit on prices without salesat least −55 $ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005647 instead of 0.005058
Craft 2250814 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 86.12$ · invest 100.45$
profit on prices without salesat least −55 $ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005603 instead of 0.005058
Craft 2250764 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 85.99$ · invest 102.22$
profit on prices without salesat least −56 $ rare inputs

P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005669 instead of 0.005058
Craft 2250677 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 85.91$ · invest 102.42$
profit on prices without salesat least −55 $ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005632 instead of 0.005058
Craft 2250918 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 85.89$ · invest 100.93$
profit on prices without salesat least −55 $ rare inputs

Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005621 instead of 0.005058
Craft 2250927 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 85.89$ · invest 101.75$
profit on prices without salesat least −56 $ rare inputs

M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005466 instead of 0.005058
Craft 2250872 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 85.83$ · invest 100.65$
profit on prices without salesat least −55 $ rare inputs

M249 | Downtown (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005621 instead of 0.005058
Craft 2250688 · The 2021 Train Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 85.61$ · invest 101.89$
profit on prices without salesat least −58 $ rare inputs

M249 | Aztec (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005669 instead of 0.005058
Craft 2250931 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 85.49$ · invest 103.47$
profit on prices without salesat least −58 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005637 instead of 0.005058
Craft 2250729 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 85.37$ · invest 101.44$
profit on prices without salesat least −56 $ rare inputs

P250 | Nevermore (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005405 instead of 0.005058
Craft 2250783 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 85.22$ · invest 102.82$
profit on prices without salesat least −57 $ rare inputs

Nova | Ocular (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.005058
Craft 2250735 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 85.15$ · invest 103.40$
profit on prices without salesat least −56 $ rare inputs

MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.005058
Craft 2250759 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 85.15$ · invest 101.12$
profit on prices without salesat least −56 $ rare inputs

MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005689 instead of 0.005058
Craft 2250855 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 84.82$ · invest 102.41$
profit on prices without salesat least −57 $ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.005058
Craft 2250711 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 84.70$ · invest 102.93$
profit on prices without salesat least −57 $ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.005058
Craft 2250747 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 84.13$ · invest 101.52$
profit on prices without salesat least −57 $ rare inputs

P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005405 instead of 0.005058
Craft 2250661 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Anubis Collection · profit 83.40$ · invest 115.86$
profit on prices without salesat least −72 $ rare inputs

Nova | Sobek's Bite (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.005058
Craft 2250961 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 83.17$ · invest 106.89$
profit on prices without salesat least −61 $ rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Marina (Minimal Wear) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.003621 instead of 0.005058

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build